MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92efc192391693de555525bc33e209e7ec588d05a3c7e92a925b0443530164b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Kia Tigers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed NC Dinos | 47c | 1,243$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.97 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 948.12$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 720.38$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 610$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.17 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed NC Dinos | 46c | 356.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 322$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 200.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 194.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 159.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 43c | 137.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 43c | 116.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 98.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed NC Dinos | 45c | 97.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 96.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 16c | 96.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 83.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 46.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed NC Dinos | 43c | 36.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed NC Dinos | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NC Dinos | 43c | 24.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.