Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d144dddc554495534ed86a1f678a30018a8c3e966050559b0590ebedf3c5367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,727,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,727,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 713 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 56c | 322,771$181,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,780.01 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 43c | 300,000$128,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,908.37 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 44c | 290,770$127,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,489.21 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 57c | 147,637$84,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,483.81 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 43c | 99,049$42,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,725.63 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed No | 78c | 80,757$62,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,761.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked No | 57c | 67,000$38,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,810 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked No | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 40,212$28,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,951.16 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 45c | 40,000$17,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,984.62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 37,810$22,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,239.68 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 57c | 34,476$19,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,808.98 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 27,116$10,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,842.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 25,526$14,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,043.03 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 56c | 23,727$13,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,510.25 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 41c | 22,507$9,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,248.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 19,905$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 57c | 17,553$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.79 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 57c | 17,553$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.79 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 56c | 15,980$8,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 57c | 15,881$9,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 36c | 14,730$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 14,129$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.1 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 44c | 12,823$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.9 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked No | 57c | 12,387$7,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,326.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 57c | 12,341$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.47 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 56c | 12,147$6,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.95 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 58c | 11,600$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 57c | 10,734$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.57 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 28c | 10,098$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.4 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 45c | 9,734$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.87 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 44c | 9,416$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 59c | 9,113$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.33 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 57c | 8,892$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.56 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 42c | 8,776$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 42c | 8,610$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 57c | 8,399$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.59 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…2675backed No | 61c | 7,667$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked No | 56c | 7,571$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 57c | 7,050$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 7,020$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.57 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 45c | 6,961$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.24 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…1797backed Yes | 2c | 6,525$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 43c | 6,476$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 59c | 5,500$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 42c | 5,234$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.99 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 65c | 5,210$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…d730backed Yes | 44c | 5,203$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,968$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…4b0dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,241$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 4,051$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.06 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.98 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 58c | 3,868$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 57c | 3,612$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.95 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 3,517$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.38 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…5d81backed Yes | 43c | 3,481$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 42c | 3,386$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…4485backed Yes | 2c | 3,377$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 2c | 3,222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 9c | 3,052$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,028$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…75a8backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed No | 60c | 2,874$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…c842backed No | 55c | 2,751$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 41c | 2,664$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.36 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 56c | 2,600$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.96 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 2c | 2,489$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…fd37backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 40c | 2,331$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.24 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…1169backed Yes | 43c | 2,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed No | 57c | 2,250$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,226$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked No | 60c | 2,167$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,135$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 41c | 2,023$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.22 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 16c | 1,931$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,894$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 10c | 1,857$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed Yes | 33c | 1,821$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 45c | 1,774$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 1,734$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.29 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 30c | 1,662$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…c946backed Yes | 43c | 1,649$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 1,589$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.96 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,473$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…f2b3backed Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.