Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257d56b9d488e44d300004ceab907075c45dee9eaddec79b7b545037dc268c14

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $520,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes	30c	392,873$119,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,414.44	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	69c	147,069$101,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,322.7	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	69c	86,829$59,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,085.63	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	70c	69,044$48,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,746.43	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	72c	38,810$28,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,797.59	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	75c	36,027$26,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,129.51	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	70c	32,949$23,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,723.41	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes	36c	15,292$5,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,492.12	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	69c	10,049$6,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,115.62	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes	28c	5,491$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.99	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes	30c	4,897$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes	7c	4,272$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	79c	3,971$3,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.18	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes	1c	3,160$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	80c	1,784$1,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.61	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes	23c	1,550$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.45	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes	28c	1,417$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No	73c	1,374$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.97	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	72cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes	6c	1,353$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes	6c	1,269$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed No	68c	1,255$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.75	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	29c	1,228$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.11	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Yes	6c	1,133$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+65%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3800…c45fbacked Yes	11c	1,033$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+76.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes	15c	1,000$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf26…609fbacked Yes	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	28c	994.93$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.58	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed No	72c	833.33$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked No	64c	780$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.8	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes	33c	777.24$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes	7c	728.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	70c	720.27$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.95	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No	72c	694.44$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.44	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	74cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes	29c	689.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…8745backed Yes	11c	661.77$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	70c	648.1$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.99	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes	32c	625$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes	45c	520.28$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.64	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0f…5f55backed Yes	29c	516.79$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa531…2db2backed Yes	30c	507.62$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No	71c	423.86$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.52	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes	32c	418.09$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes	29c	400$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Yes	29c	399.99$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked Yes	28c	360$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e9…15bdbacked Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	122	33.6%41 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes	30c	326.13$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.84	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked No	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No	68c	316.25$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No	72c	315.17$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.25	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed No	78c	311.05$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.85	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes	33c	300$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.95	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001e…66e7backed Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	29c	288.38$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.63	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes	14c	287.58$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc38e…dce8backed No	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No	72c	270.86$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.05	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50b1…5aafbacked Yes	29c	265.52$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	35cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No	71c	262.58$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.15	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes	38c	257.86$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.74	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0135…dad7backed Yes	7c	247.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes	33c	239.36$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No	74c	223.41$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.77	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	71cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6e…c82bbacked Yes	36c	222.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes	17c	211.55$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No	72c	211.04$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.97	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904c…2e6cbacked Yes	19c	209.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	29c	208$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.32	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	18c	203.47$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No	70c	200$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	118	50%59 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked No	56c	199.99$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	78c	199$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.69	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No	71c	188.38$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.63	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No	70c	185.24$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.57	141	28.4%40 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Yes	11c	170.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-4.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-66%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes	13c	158.93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…0742backed Yes	30c	156.67$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0928…9d34backed No	72c	150.29$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.08	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No	69c	145.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event