TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe085…5474

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4418.2%8 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$292.5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.18
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$61.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.2%+$606.05
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+123.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$82.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45%+$91.23
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.61
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$146.87
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,884.71
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.59
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$259.19
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$75.3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$32.8
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+4,445.5%+$489
Will Iran strike UAE in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$114.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$194.02
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$431.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+395.2%+$159.67
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$199.87
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$188.86
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$21.04
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+139%+$249.81
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$51.67
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.13
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump pauses all reciprocal tariffs other than China before Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$39.17
Will Trump release FBI Russia investigation files by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$30.75
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
More Epstein files released in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$53.49
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.99
Epstein files released this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+88.8%+$9.58
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+354.5%+$390
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+185.7%+$36
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-83.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will turnout be less than 36% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.76
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.02
Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.28
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.16
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.22
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.21
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$110
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$159
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$113.89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$367.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$127.79
Will Mamelodi vs. Fluminense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$71.05
Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+27%+$56.09
Will Auckland City beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$112.93
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$339.19
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.64
Will Spain beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick47cpaid+111.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Taylor vs. Serranobacked Taylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+170.3%+$85.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$102
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+271.5%+$247.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82.9%+$49.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$43.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Penguin Solutions (PENG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.