South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b8e098d274d6965a2b7252f6f0233bc0d26cce2c685cdb711785315ba2cef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 42c | 6,594$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.05 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 64c | 4,539$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 3,048$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 2,950$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.89 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 60c | 837.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 62c | 605.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.41 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 64c | 566.11$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.31 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 490.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.86 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 453.47$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.47 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 30c | 273.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 38c | 202.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 40c | 149.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 37c | 92.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 40c | 47.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 54c | 45.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1196backed Yes | 56c | 39.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 58c | 38.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…83c0backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…43dcbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…3d78backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…b969backed Yes | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.