Fed Rates · resolved market

Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c1780f62641c32b84db4e6772d2a84d8c6ce6b6e7b4d6ca9560d79145abcae

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $171,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $149,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	9c	11,766$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.9	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes	11c	9,770$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.7	12	25%3 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	11c	8,305$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.79	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes	10c	6,446$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.07	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc54…680fbacked Yes	8c	5,702$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.42	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes	12c	5,057$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.91	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes	11c	4,384$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…f530backed Yes	12c	3,786$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed Yes	12c	3,027$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	2c	2,473$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…ef97backed Yes	9c	2,235$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.6	60	25%15 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes	14c	1,790$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f11…157abacked Yes	14c	1,787$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes	12c	1,727$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.01	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2a…a436backed Yes	12c	1,696$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.72	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09a…d020backed Yes	12c	1,379$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5edd…8309backed Yes	12c	1,369$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No	79c	1,338$1,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.49	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+10.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes	11c	1,200$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x712c…de39backed Yes	10c	1,145$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd3…e078backed Yes	12c	1,130$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…3290backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ff…d6d2backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8c…934cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3e…7e75backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb18…195bbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc97…0238backed Yes	12c	977.31$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.2	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	11c	912.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c19…5727backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68da…ee52backed Yes	12c	884.62$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbacc…e985backed Yes	6c	870$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…9a35backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…f2eebacked Yes	10c	818.8$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd37…de9fbacked Yes	13c	793.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a5…f001backed Yes	13c	772.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf203…c9cfbacked Yes	5c	767.06$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e0…4180backed Yes	12c	724.17$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c86…d153backed Yes	3c	703.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…4a09backed Yes	22c	700$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes	10c	650$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76f…970cbacked Yes	11c	645.36$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6abf…c6cebacked Yes	7c	622$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Yes	10c	620$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe22…66b3backed Yes	10c	610$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe99f…5f19backed Yes	11c	570$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94e…ac9ebacked Yes	4c	550$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes	16c	539$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.24	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x206a…8e4fbacked Yes	10c	530$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd477…6c04backed Yes	17c	505.45$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f72…9a74backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.56	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-92.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…adbebacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0f…8012backed Yes	13c	488.41$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.53	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddca…41c5backed Yes	11c	464.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eaa…2291backed Yes	2c	462.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79e3…663dbacked Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d89…637ebacked Yes	12c	420$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes	10c	407.7$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30b…c731backed Yes	14c	400.79$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…511bbacked Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7623…48abbacked Yes	11c	361.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa899…3802backed Yes	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes	15c	340$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ff…ff2dbacked Yes	12c	315$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf81b…89b1backed Yes	16c	308.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b66…002bbacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb09d…3c44backed Yes	11c	293.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Yes	7c	290$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…87a9backed Yes	4c	289.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes	10c	282$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…a18fbacked Yes	11c	280$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e1…95c0backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes	10c	264.72$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.47	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes	11c	253.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb495…4bbbbacked Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe896…938bbacked Yes	12c	233.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb00…5025backed Yes	18c	223.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf865…d8b0backed Yes	11c	220.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	18c	210$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6f9…2a58backed Yes	14c	200.58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02e…84a0backed Yes	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899f…ad8ebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa946…9da9backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3e…1db6backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f15…8976backed Yes	10c	190.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0a…263dbacked Yes	11c	189.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	10c	185.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes	9c	175$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+5.5wins	+0.21per pick	33cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x131b…4d0ebacked Yes	12c	170$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…aebabacked Yes	14c	167.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	23cpaid	+57%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe983…31ebbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5206…2086backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442a…b330backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes	12c	166.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event