Fed Rates · resolved market

Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865f5e7e8d1858390a1756b896e14b2a824b9c3305338882d34de235d11da44b

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,646 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x76c8…ba09backed No	4c	13,784$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.49	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	35c	5,100$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,324.86	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+10.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No	1c	3,846$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	63c	2,011$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.38	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2a5…f001backed No	34c	1,985$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.26	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…54a5backed No	64c	1,600$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	74c	1,486$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked No	66c	1,146$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	34c	1,029$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0887…b235backed No	65c	999.99$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.99	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe09a…d020backed No	66c	761.68$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	33c	749.96$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.97	129	41.1%53 W · 76 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Yes	39c	723.95$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.05	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes	40c	709.7$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.74	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+51%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No	64c	680.89$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.39	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Yes	38c	680$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.33	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-31%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	35c	638.62$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.1	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8980…e844backed No	65c	600$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.28	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes	32c	558.16$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	68c	500$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	50	34%17 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	64c	495.34$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.67	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-38%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes	67c	455.22$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.22	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38a…8237backed No	65c	450.77$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No	5c	449.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+150%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d62cbacked No	3c	448.66$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85ce…13b2backed No	64c	431.57$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed No	2c	414.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No	65c	360.41$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.04	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed Yes	34c	301.5$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.99	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e72…e7cabacked No	67c	300$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb18…195bbacked No	64c	300$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes	26c	289.71$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.39	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed No	64c	277.61$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.67	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b9…1a27backed Yes	42c	257.52$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.9	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8390…8f8bbacked No	5c	245.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed No	63c	232.91$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.26	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes	45c	230.32$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.38	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed Yes	44c	227.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.73	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked No	67c	209.25$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-54%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed No	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdf…085ebacked No	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Yes	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	37c	200$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	35c	173.31$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.31	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4503…7aaabacked No	59c	168.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No	29c	165$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.55	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes	35c	154.7$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.65	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	35c	143$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.95	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+7.0wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a9f…3b4bbacked No	70c	142.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…9c96backed Yes	67c	133.64$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed No	70c	131.34$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bed…cd34backed Yes	35c	127.68$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No	64c	125$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed No	67c	123.73$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes	37c	120$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa568…12f6backed Yes	32c	117.56$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.37	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	67c	113.54$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.08	181	35.4%64 W · 117 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yes	37c	108$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.04	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	36c	106.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.21	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0f…8012backed No	67c	101.34$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe906…5a44backed No	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed No	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4498…06a8backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed No	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2147…91ffbacked No	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed No	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x730c…f684backed No	68c	90.9$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e5…be51backed No	65c	90$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes	35c	87.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.53	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd295…a832backed No	66c	80$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd76f…edb5backed No	65c	80$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…e87abacked No	60c	80$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe983…31ebbacked No	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9380…3a18backed No	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+212.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…d1d1backed No	65c	70.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa592…f9aebacked No	65c	70.45$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No	65c	70$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c42…3a34backed No	67c	70$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3eb…c286backed No	65c	69.23$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-51%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01f1…a76dbacked No	65c	64.62$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes	40c	63.73$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3694…950fbacked No	73c	63.63$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	32c	61.19$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.76	200	21.5%43 W · 157 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9795…1328backed No	67c	61.19$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	34c	50.1$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.07	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…91c8backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.93	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+90%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd0e…a9c8backed No	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d33…2c30backed No	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked No	64c	49.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	33c	44.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.24	318	7.2%23 W · 295 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d2…a615backed No	65c	42.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce8…b14bbacked No	72c	41.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed Yes	34c	40$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1c…b3e1backed No	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	34c	40$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.52	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	48c	39.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…2d5bbacked Yes	36c	39.25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x254c…67a2backed No	65c	39.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed No	65c	38.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event