TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ea0…9928

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$93.18
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$81.23
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$64.46
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.68
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$88.16
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.96
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$435.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$327.07
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$115.16
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$115.23
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$209.98
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$93.12
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+64.3%+$64.85
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$320.11
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$365.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$190.63
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+74.1%+$127.49
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. SK Gamingbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,922.96
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,984
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,091.26
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,119.38
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,085.4
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,118.48
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$993.32
League of Legends: LYON vs. Team Liquidbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,316
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$999.98
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.8
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$26.51
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$74.39
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$886.36
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,482.85
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$575.96
Trump declassifies 9/11 files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$71.58
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$833.6
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$948.72
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+34%+$267.34
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+177.7%+$2,300.5
Will Trump cut aid to Jordan or Egypt before March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+58.3%+$289.24
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,710Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+77.2%+$2,092.5
Will Trump impose tariffs on China before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,334.28
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$132.13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+117.3%+$2,419.77
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.4%+$591.59
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+37.2%+$574.34
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+32.5%+$417.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,743Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+89.5%+$1,559.79
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$89.96
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$62.39
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$670.8
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$315.84
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$736.02
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.78
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,429.72
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$851
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+138.7%+$383.67
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$29.61
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,586Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$2,593.11
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$1,637.62
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,924.23
Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+119%+$1,214.29
Will another country win Eurovision 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$169.96
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$435.32
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+127.8%+$76.29
Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.4%+$27
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.5%+$41.51
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,130.64
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$366.8
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Pistons (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$91.48
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$21.51
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$10.5
Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$31.69
Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will another NBA All Star get traded before the deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+36.8%+$213.77
Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$497.72
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.95
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$593.29
Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+82.4%+$47.05
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,336.89
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$700.36
Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.55
Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.72
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,908.29
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+229.8%+$624.14
Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$542.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.9%+$1,149.08
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.66
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.05
Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$1,526.07
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$938.16
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+155.4%+$837
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+66.2%+$1,156.51
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+30.9%+$304.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$504.73
Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$372.28
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$222.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,085
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,787.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$414.45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,064.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100%+$115.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$666.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.