NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893df4c1b8f4f505a48c2053ea03a4d2aea43273c1ac47f5e7f1cf68531b96b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $885,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $885,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers | 56c | 155,965$86,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,568 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 38c | 93,381$35,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,252.23 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 58c | 76,663$44,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,132.37 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 73,000$35,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,340 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Clippers | 54c | 66,878$36,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,058.52 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Clippers | 51c | 60,974$31,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,011.6 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Clippers | 72c | 41,741$30,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,210.9 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Clippers | 53c | 30,067$15,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,935.5 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets | 47c | 28,062$13,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,873.04 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Clippers | 61c | 25,889$15,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,882.02 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11df…0ad6backed Nuggets | 48c | 25,632$12,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,285.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Clippers | 50c | 24,728$12,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,314.19 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clippers | 62c | 21,655$13,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,376.77 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers | 51c | 20,057$10,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,206.44 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Clippers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Nuggets | 48c | 13,688$6,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 12,714$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,971.62 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Clippers | 46c | 11,500$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Nuggets | 55c | 11,143$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.71 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…5823backed Nuggets | 36c | 10,685$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,869.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nuggets | 36c | 10,266$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.07 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,051$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.76 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 47c | 9,848$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.32 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…3ba0backed Clippers | 54c | 9,065$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Clippers | 45c | 8,195$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Nuggets | 40c | 7,019$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,890$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.39 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,808$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.21 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 5,765$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,407$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.43 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,198$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.13 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nuggets | 45c | 4,176$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.33 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Clippers | 52c | 3,900$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,896$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.42 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Clippers | 46c | 3,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…485bbacked Clippers | 79c | 3,172$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,163$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.45 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,880$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,700$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,489$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.68 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,436$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.4 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,166$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,115$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Clippers | 80c | 2,086$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.85 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,014$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Clippers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Clippers | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers | 50c | 1,771$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.83 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,710$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Clippers | 54c | 1,649$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.7 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 38c | 1,643$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.22 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,637$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.33 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Clippers | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,448$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.36 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Clippers | 45c | 1,364$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.66 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Nuggets | 26c | 1,298$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,250$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.04 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers | 40c | 1,221$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Clippers | 44c | 1,143$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…23c9backed Clippers | 52c | 1,133$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,130$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,123$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.18 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,119$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.91 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Clippers | 40c | 1,090$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Clippers | 54c | 1,031$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Clippers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…cdcbbacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Nuggets | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 946.18$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.93 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Clippers | 66c | 927.7$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.42 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Clippers | 68c | 890.5$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.96 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nuggets | 46c | 888$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Clippers | 55c | 799.87$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.02 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Clippers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Clippers | 48c | 732.66$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.15 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…5393backed Clippers | 62c | 678.78$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Clippers | 49c | 666.72$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.02 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…da2dbacked Clippers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…cbabbacked Nuggets | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Nuggets | 64c | 549.5$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…e24abacked Clippers | 64c | 537.33$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 502.26$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Nuggets | 39c | 500$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Nuggets | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Nuggets | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…b1e8backed Clippers | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf741…cb34backed Clippers | 50c | 402.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a94dbacked Clippers | 47c | 400$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 38c | 395$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed Nuggets | 49c | 394.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…b6b8backed Clippers | 48c | 380.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.