TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec01…6592

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT11344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.8
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$110.5
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.65
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$328
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+36.1%+$53
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$283.42
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,185.75
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$163.74
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+113.4%+$371.99
Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+176.7%+$156.47
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+207.9%+$354.67
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$164.71
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$32.91
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.21
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Hadjar vs. Tsunodabacked Hadjar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+150%+$41.9
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$66.55
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Alonso vs. Strollbacked Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$76.99
Sainz vs. Albonbacked Albon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$125
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.84
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.39
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$155.99
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$122
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.8%+$247.36
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.7%+$49.63
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$282
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$89.46
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$119.99
Will Ariana Grande be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$174.5
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.8%+$134
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.27
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$150
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$64
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.72
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$66.99
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+215%+$273.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$88.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.