Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064ed1b633dd21bccb58a37f2d2ebd371daeedc1c6694211603301b4d8b5d204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked No | 79c | 39,035$31,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 24,414$18,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.26 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 25c | 22,958$5,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.78 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 28c | 21,838$6,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,174.7 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 20c | 21,446$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.36 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 23c | 15,176$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.69 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 24c | 7,545$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.06 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 14c | 6,054$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.73 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 2,407$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed Yes | 22c | 2,278$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 34c | 2,023$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.73 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 28c | 1,985$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 66c | 1,825$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 36c | 1,599$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 62c | 1,564$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,510$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,231$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,136$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.64 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 13c | 1,036$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.98 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 982.59$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Yes | 33c | 914.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 9c | 850$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…1e60backed Yes | 37c | 818.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 27c | 775.04$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 33c | 753.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.58 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Yes | 1c | 752.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 13c | 683.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed Yes | 22c | 645.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…d4f2backed Yes | 33c | 643.4$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…b919backed Yes | 2c | 579.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 19c | 523$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…f69fbacked Yes | 22c | 467.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…1c24backed Yes | 14c | 433.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…4ca5backed Yes | 64c | 420.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 36c | 417.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 388.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 65c | 383.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed No | 68c | 363.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed No | 75c | 354.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 15c | 343$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed No | 69c | 297.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 28c | 287.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 38c | 260.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 23c | 255.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…45cabacked Yes | 40c | 252.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 239.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 26c | 238.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 25c | 226.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 36c | 220$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 19c | 212.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed Yes | 39c | 210$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 9c | 143.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 23c | 142.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…90a1backed Yes | 36c | 123.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 123.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…d348backed Yes | 63c | 118.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 45c | 114.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…4eb5backed Yes | 21c | 114.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed No | 77c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 54c | 109.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 71c | 101.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…799fbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…5e85backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…1474backed Yes | 32c | 92.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…923fbacked No | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…526cbacked Yes | 23c | 88.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 48c | 86.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 23c | 85.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…4ec6backed Yes | 64c | 75.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 38c | 74.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 15c | 67.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…605dbacked No | 80c | 66.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked No | 72c | 60.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…2f08backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…842fbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…7e81backed Yes | 42c | 47.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 24c | 46.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 74c | 42.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…b679backed Yes | 49c | 41.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 33c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…6252backed Yes | 29c | 39.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 73c | 28.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked Yes | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…caffbacked Yes | 49c | 24.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?this page
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?No won
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?No won
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?No won
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 45% before August?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.