TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00c0…c91e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.6
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.74
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.86
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$347.79
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+79.1%+$679.32
Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$32.25
Will Lee Jun-seok not endorse any candidate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,131.41
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,273.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35%+$48.9
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$29.49
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$77.91
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.59
US military action on Yemen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$103.53
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.58
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$37.52
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.89
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.16
Will George Russell win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$45.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$107.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.