Us Politics · resolved market
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f3503e92508c365b9a950e7c6e6b74cd3ee819ab4e68941a23c0e2146a69c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6190…0e7abacked Yes | 31c | 52,009$16,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,886.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59df…81bdbacked No | 69c | 52,009$35,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,886.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 75c | 19,181$14,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.48 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 14c | 6,429$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…e86bbacked No | 69c | 4,643$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 14c | 4,254$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.81 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 32c | 3,008$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.97 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 4c | 2,926$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 7c | 2,709$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.75 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 1,872$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.45 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…2229backed Yes | 33c | 1,488$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653d…7805backed No | 65c | 1,162$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…e4c9backed No | 67c | 1,007$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 4c | 999.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.83 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…672ebacked No | 68c | 738.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 14c | 708$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…a8c1backed Yes | 28c | 674.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +261.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9049…de85backed Yes | 16c | 649.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +214%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 36c | 626.21$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.61 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 35c | 624.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.96 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed No | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 72c | 367.34$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 26c | 299.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed No | 71c | 299.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.89 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 69c | 259.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes | 31c | 258.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 236.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 27c | 235.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.92 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 72c | 230.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 68c | 185$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed No | 63c | 159.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…7ee1backed Yes | 33c | 129.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 127.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…abc3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 118.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…36f3backed Yes | 26c | 116.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 73c | 115.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 70c | 107.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…487dbacked No | 15c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 20c | 98.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…65ccbacked No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed No | 70c | 85.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…f63fbacked No | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…4e3bbacked No | 75c | 78.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…ecd4backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9a…6e47backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…39cdbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…511ebacked No | 75c | 65.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…3725backed Yes | 32c | 57.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 35c | 57.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 27c | 56.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 33c | 56.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 75c | 54.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 29c | 53.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…adaebacked No | 78c | 51.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf468…8340backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…684ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 70c | 49.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 72c | 45.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 74c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…a799backed No | 78c | 38.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 66c | 38.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 27c | 37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 35.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 76c | 31.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…5938backed No | 73c | 29.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 73c | 29.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 67c | 28.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…cd92backed No | 74c | 27.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 71c | 25.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…c505backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…cdc5backed No | 68c | 21.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde81…0732backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 71c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…9e13backed No | 67c | 18.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…16a4backed No | 73c | 18.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…673bbacked No | 72c | 17.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…d900backed No | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d6…ae50backed No | 78c | 13.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.