TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1c0…511e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$20.46
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Trump remove carried interest loophole before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$17.14
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$14.83
Will Capitol foreign flag ban be signed into law?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.12
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.7
TikTok sale announced before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Trump Travel Ban Before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.74
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$20.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.3%+$17.14
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$36.21
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$16.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+27%+$12.96
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.67
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$50.72
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.59
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.75
Will there be a streaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China-EU trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$17.16
TikTok sale announced before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Terry Rozier suspended before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$118.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.