AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf4bb0789dc2e41ab1854259de133854ed17a401a0812fce0b897a8e74e020c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x206c…2632backed No | 33c | 87,000$28,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…2ecdbacked Yes | 67c | 87,000$58,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…370bbacked No | 56c | 75,212$42,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,093.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…43f2backed Yes | 44c | 75,212$33,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,093.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 51c | 19,613$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,673.39 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…eca0backed Yes | 5c | 9,912$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…6020backed Yes | 68c | 9,782$6,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 55c | 5,817$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.74 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 5c | 5,020$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +246.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 5c | 4,084$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 3,536$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.78 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 42c | 3,212$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.58 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 2,732$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 50c | 2,447$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked No | 68c | 2,344$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 2,237$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,024$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 14c | 1,792$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,582$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 78c | 1,390$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…6957backed Yes | 24c | 1,358$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 17c | 1,332$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…9114backed No | 58c | 1,090$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,055$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…013fbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…cecebacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 986.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…6d85backed Yes | 57c | 960$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…a15bbacked No | 43c | 960$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…ca91backed Yes | 6c | 951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 17c | 900$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 24c | 893.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…dafcbacked Yes | 41c | 891.12$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 45c | 851.41$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 840.08$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.97 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 39c | 800$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 77c | 764.33$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.52 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…7898backed Yes | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…b326backed No | 25c | 700$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 4c | 697.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…11fbbacked Yes | 4c | 687.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 37c | 681.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked No | 66c | 677.32$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 34c | 651$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 616.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 28c | 600$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…0ea9backed No | 68c | 589.81$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 546.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…3b40backed Yes | 44c | 494.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked No | 69c | 473.2$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…fc2dbacked No | 43c | 463.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 439.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 54c | 416.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 60c | 415.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked Yes | 74c | 405.88$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…5790backed Yes | 5c | 392.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 26c | 392.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 31c | 374.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed Yes | 62c | 369.39$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…5fcabacked No | 64c | 344.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc9…0101backed Yes | 29c | 340.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed No | 38c | 340$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 24c | 338.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 67c | 331.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 42c | 330.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 47c | 325.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 39c | 324.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.19 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…56b0backed Yes | 33c | 303.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ce…a0a6backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 30c | 280.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 56c | 272.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 75c | 270.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 27c | 258.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed No | 39c | 254.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 52c | 238.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…9935backed Yes | 16c | 230.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…80bebacked Yes | 44c | 229.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe120…9eb6backed No | 69c | 228$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 61c | 226.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…9e3bbacked No | 34c | 226.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 23c | 222$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…47debacked Yes | 11c | 217.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 32c | 210.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 32c | 206.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 65c | 196.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 51c | 190.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 22c | 179.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 68c | 179$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…eec4backed No | 59c | 174.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…d4f2backed No | 76c | 171.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed No | 58c | 171.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +484.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.