TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55b8…1f22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+88.7%+$47
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$72
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$65
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$67.2
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$56
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$14.36
Chiefs vs. 49ersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$55
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$47
Bengals vs. Giantsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$36
Steelers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$39
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
Commanders vs. Ravensbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+257.1%+$144
Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74.06
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Florida legalize weed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$102.75
Will the election be called on Nov 5? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+29.9%+$31.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-69.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+126.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$63
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$48.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.3%+$31.72
Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?backed Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$60.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+166.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+31.8%+$47.64
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$129
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Elon tweet 150-174 October 11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$79
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.58
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winnerbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.73
Njokuani vs. Goodenbacked Gooden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+244.8%+$71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$69.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.