WNBA · resolved market
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2e6f4e202a6f86f9a4cb86d6b19898d5307a4f4cecf37ff8daaa36118f56c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Liberty, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6356…1885backed Lynx | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Lynx | 28c | 2,007$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Liberty | 69c | 1,713$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…f706backed Lynx | 30c | 1,390$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50b…c935backed Liberty | 70c | 1,390$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…2e90backed Liberty | 70c | 1,390$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…0bbbbacked Lynx | 30c | 1,390$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lynx | 32c | 1,240$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Liberty | 72c | 778.28$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…2accbacked Lynx | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…fadfbacked Liberty | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…6fbfbacked Lynx | 30c | 680$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…a569backed Liberty | 70c | 680$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Liberty | 72c | 521.5$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Lynx | 41c | 499.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…ec0bbacked Lynx | 44c | 499.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed Lynx | 14c | 407.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Lynx | 31c | 322.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Lynx | 21c | 242.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Liberty | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…115cbacked Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…a5eabacked Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…6574backed Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…182ebacked Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc231…ff06backed Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…4d72backed Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…8f1cbacked Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…7447backed Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…dd8ebacked Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…ab85backed Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…00afbacked Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8501…53febacked Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…5e8fbacked Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…1f15backed Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…2f08backed Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969d…e39dbacked Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…0f18backed Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…81ebbacked Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…b067backed Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ea…f79dbacked Liberty | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Liberty | 70c | 166.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Liberty | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…14cbbacked Liberty | 65c | 128.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…a99fbacked Liberty | 72c | 105.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…7cddbacked Lynx | 31c | 105.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Liberty | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c3…5227backed Lynx | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Liberty | 69c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Liberty | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lynx | 35c | 31.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Liberty | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…aab2backed Liberty | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…c3c6backed Liberty | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Liberty | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…ddc5backed Liberty | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Liberty | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…097cbacked Liberty | 66c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…501bbacked Liberty | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Liberty | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.