Us Politics · resolved market
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43efad46190af66027a398689b43ff5d91f55349ed2bc25a39f5cee06b628a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked Yes | 6c | 53,420$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 8c | 28,332$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.17 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 10c | 10,505$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked Yes | 9c | 10,490$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 10,042$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.09 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 6c | 9,520$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.93 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 9c | 8,824$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.28 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,539$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 5c | 6,214$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 3c | 6,177$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 25c | 5,410$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,493$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b4…d8bbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,434$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…8299backed No | 74c | 4,372$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 74c | 4,147$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed No | 78c | 3,998$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 12c | 3,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 9c | 3,491$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.65 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,145$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 4c | 3,123$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 3,100$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…4b29backed Yes | 2c | 2,859$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 14c | 2,586$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 2,581$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,548$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 5c | 2,338$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 28c | 2,222$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 19c | 2,003$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.07 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…f628backed Yes | 5c | 2,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,978$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 1,943$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…d638backed Yes | 13c | 1,940$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 11c | 1,911$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,808$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,744$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 9c | 1,624$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,428$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 16c | 1,373$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…f51fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,314$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,303$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 14c | 1,275$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…a3f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,254$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,189$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked Yes | 20c | 1,146$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…fbe6backed Yes | 1c | 1,128$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce4…374ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,119$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Yes | 18c | 1,113$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…488bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,088$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 9c | 1,060$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…8e4cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,058$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 80c | 1,039$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.73 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,033$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,018$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…6c30backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…8e54backed Yes | 9c | 979.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 21c | 902.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked Yes | 6c | 870.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 11c | 838.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…c1c3backed Yes | 13c | 777.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 12c | 711.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 13c | 690$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 14c | 657$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 11c | 616.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91cb…c0b8backed Yes | 10c | 605.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…6610backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed Yes | 5c | 531.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 523.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 508$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 8c | 485$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 13c | 408.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…123bbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 11c | 377.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…d41cbacked Yes | 11c | 376.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 5c | 375$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…38cebacked Yes | 14c | 356.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 13c | 354.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 12c | 344$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 12c | 337$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d9…a144backed Yes | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 8c | 310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…74e0backed Yes | 12c | 309.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…c501backed Yes | 6c | 308.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes | 9c | 307.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 306.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…3558backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687e…de8bbacked Yes | 14c | 295.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9914backed No | 79c | 277.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed Yes | 13c | 258.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c2…836bbacked Yes | 12c | 256$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.