TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$479,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$536,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f72…83adbacked Yes6c53,420$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.511931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes8c28,332$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.1711541.7%48 W · 67 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes10c10,505$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0288632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…b06ebacked Yes9c10,490$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes4c10,042$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.093859.4%36 W · 349 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes6c9,520$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.933212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes9c8,824$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.283721.6%8 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes2c7,539$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1818033.3%60 W · 120 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes5c6,214$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32210324.3%25 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes3c6,177$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.752326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…8477backed Yes25c5,410$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.29911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-76.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes8c4,493$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b4…d8bbbacked Yes10c4,434$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x366f…8299backed No74c4,372$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…abd2backed No74c4,147$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee63…07a4backed No78c3,998$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.811040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes12c3,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43537844.4%168 W · 210 L+33.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+64.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes9c3,491$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.653818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes9c3,145$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes4c3,123$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.629533.7%32 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes5c3,100$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1692847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9545…4b29backed Yes2c2,859$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes14c2,586$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.742020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes11c2,581$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.89812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes4c2,548$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf555…b2d5backed Yes5c2,338$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.573511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes28c2,222$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.164427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes19c2,003$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0717225%43 W · 129 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a3…f628backed Yes5c2,002$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes9c1,978$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.447834.6%27 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes11c1,943$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9896319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5757…d638backed Yes13c1,940$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes11c1,911$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.213735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes10c1,808$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7618746.5%87 W · 100 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9916…a2b2backed Yes4c1,744$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.593743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes9c1,624$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2112649.2%62 W · 64 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes3c1,428$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes16c1,373$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1422347.5%106 W · 117 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77cc…f51fbacked Yes2c1,314$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes11c1,303$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14841238.8%160 W · 252 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes14c1,275$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.333658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5923…a3f7backed Yes13c1,254$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes9c1,222$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes14c1,189$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.25038%19 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8964…0becbacked Yes20c1,146$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.931020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd0e…fbe6backed Yes1c1,128$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce4…374ebacked Yes9c1,119$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes18c1,113$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.21825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b26…488bbacked Yes15c1,088$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+64.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes9c1,060$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8718914.3%27 W · 162 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc942…8e4cbacked Yes19c1,058$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed No80c1,039$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.738547.1%40 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Yes14c1,033$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.16527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes4c1,018$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.026921.7%15 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4159…6c30backed Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes3c1,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268737.9%33 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8948…28d5backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-78.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ae…8e54backed Yes9c979.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.02633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes21c902.05$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19117452.9%92 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…564cbacked Yes6c870.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.872231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes11c838.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6517713%23 W · 154 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…c1c3backed Yes13c777.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…abc0backed Yes12c711.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.371020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes13c690$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.465137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x577c…7dd1backed Yes14c657$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.862839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes11c616.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1517021.2%36 W · 134 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91cb…c0b8backed Yes10c605.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x247b…6610backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…1472backed Yes5c531.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.971315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-72%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes3c523.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-77.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes9c508$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5913029.2%38 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…f7c0backed Yes20c500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.533517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6193…d924backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes8c485$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.054934.7%17 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes13c408.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1513537.8%51 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf41…1587backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce50…123bbacked Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes11c377.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick28cpaid-88.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7d…d41cbacked Yes11c376.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes5c375$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.652835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5d…38cebacked Yes14c356.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes13c354.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Yes12c344$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.286838.2%26 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes12c337$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7911347.8%54 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d9…a144backed Yes20c330$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes8c310$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe656…74e0backed Yes12c309.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacaf…c501backed Yes6c308.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes9c307.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c306.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4356733.2%188 W · 379 L-40.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe92a…3558backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x687e…de8bbacked Yes14c295.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-83.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x548c…9914backed No79c277.31$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x003d…7a58backed Yes13c258.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.451040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c2…836bbacked Yes12c256$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.