Us Politics · resolved market
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8dde8c346cb3dd5b07a96198fd381c9fc2b199380b959db02bfd8e475018193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 4c | 17,744$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.74 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked No | 5c | 15,087$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.98 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 4c | 8,799$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.55 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked No | 1c | 7,207$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 4c | 6,003$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 5,180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 4c | 4,800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 1c | 4,404$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 3c | 4,200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed No | 4c | 3,903$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed No | 10c | 3,885$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 1c | 3,708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed No | 1c | 3,114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 4c | 2,910$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed No | 4c | 2,696$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c3d6backed No | 4c | 2,514$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…229ebacked No | 2c | 2,313$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 9c | 2,286$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 3c | 2,253$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 1c | 2,121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…291abacked No | 20c | 1,736$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 6c | 1,734$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 1c | 1,511$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed No | 12c | 1,510$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 1c | 1,510$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…3c57backed No | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed No | 2c | 1,088$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…c8ffbacked No | 2c | 1,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…cdcebacked No | 9c | 1,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 5c | 998.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed No | 11c | 949.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked No | 11c | 910$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f954backed No | 2c | 871.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed No | 2c | 810.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…7b9cbacked No | 4c | 666.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…b1afbacked No | 2c | 663.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 11c | 655.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…9599backed No | 2c | 608.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 2c | 591.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed No | 2c | 570.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…482dbacked No | 3c | 539.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 9c | 493.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 7c | 476$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…2687backed No | 2c | 447.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 444.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…61ddbacked No | 8c | 376.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 5c | 348$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…4325backed No | 11c | 346.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 6c | 338$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…05acbacked No | 8c | 324.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 8c | 283.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…8e54backed No | 5c | 265.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 8c | 255$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 14c | 251.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…5093backed No | 9c | 215.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…79a0backed No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…3115backed No | 10c | 181.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 7c | 159.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd83…28f1backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…f205backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed No | 12c | 123.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 9c | 114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b7…5d0abacked No | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…aae8backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…cd9fbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…56acbacked No | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…8d10backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.