Us Politics · resolved market
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa3380a7d5f6eb7a8b55057776c69b62eaad836131584566060a37fb091ed50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 2c | 15,500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 5c | 10,400$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.4 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…208dbacked No | 11c | 8,475$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed No | 8c | 8,310$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.56 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 5,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 3c | 4,343$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 3c | 3,494$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 2c | 3,305$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 2,229$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…b694backed No | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 3c | 2,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 3c | 2,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 2c | 1,974$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 4c | 1,506$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed No | 2c | 1,281$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked No | 3c | 966.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed No | 1c | 955.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…28c0backed No | 12c | 955$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 4c | 856.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…229ebacked No | 5c | 853.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 9c | 823.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 3c | 810.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…bf6ebacked No | 9c | 805.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 10c | 799.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 9c | 790$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…cdcebacked No | 9c | 790$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…16b6backed No | 7c | 773.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…d611backed No | 3c | 727.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…7657backed No | 28c | 719.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…bb23backed No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked No | 7c | 700.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed No | 5c | 669.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…877bbacked No | 7c | 645$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 5c | 639.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…e158backed No | 10c | 638.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 7c | 591.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed No | 3c | 536.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…7fdbbacked No | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…adb0backed No | 7c | 442.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa780…8b16backed No | 7c | 439.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed No | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…482dbacked No | 2c | 405.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed No | 8c | 388.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…9599backed No | 3c | 380.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…c3fdbacked No | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 11c | 358.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…1c86backed No | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e97…9ddebacked Yes | 71c | 350$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 6c | 332.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038e…e0ffbacked No | 6c | 306.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed No | 7c | 291.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…fc16backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…5812backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…e693backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…6af8backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68c…b878backed No | 6c | 280.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…ab2ebacked No | 6c | 279.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…c95cbacked No | 6c | 278.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…ea75backed No | 6c | 275.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…91d0backed No | 6c | 269.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…55dfbacked No | 6c | 264.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…9178backed No | 6c | 262.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…4bb3backed No | 6c | 262.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…999fbacked No | 6c | 260.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18b…be73backed No | 6c | 258.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 14c | 254.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510d…0410backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…1ea2backed No | 6c | 211.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 78c | 188.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 6c | 181.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…5448backed No | 6c | 176.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 35c | 163.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked No | 8c | 156.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…76febacked No | 27c | 135.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…34b7backed No | 10c | 131.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…53ffbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 11c | 117.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…f86cbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…93fbbacked No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6174…02ddbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 74c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…e8c7backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.