Us Politics · resolved market
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56ec61993961904aac4095c8e0e0a5c2b56dacc35463613e67f6368ac2ee48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 72c | 9,338$6,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.83 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 14c | 8,434$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.54 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 8,075$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.08 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 7c | 6,065$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.55 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…75b9backed No | 2c | 5,798$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 53c | 5,771$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.16 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 49c | 5,008$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.83 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 6c | 4,186$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed No | 23c | 3,831$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.57 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 23c | 3,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 5c | 3,458$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed No | 31c | 3,054$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked No | 13c | 2,791$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 58c | 2,765$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.01 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 13c | 2,656$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked No | 50c | 2,500$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 15c | 2,359$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.83 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…650abacked No | 43c | 2,110$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 2,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed No | 34c | 2,092$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.36 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 52c | 1,972$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.28 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 58c | 1,812$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.08 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 6c | 1,735$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 57c | 1,698$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 67c | 1,696$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.99 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,487$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.22 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 60c | 1,471$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.43 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 40c | 1,303$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 59c | 1,213$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.4 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed No | 37c | 1,205$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,110$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.09 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 19c | 1,018$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…da6abacked No | 2c | 1,008$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 19c | 999.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed No | 13c | 980.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…e875backed No | 62c | 930$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…7c56backed Yes | 38c | 930$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…d98abacked Yes | 38c | 930$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…4fdebacked No | 62c | 930$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 3c | 921.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed No | 11c | 912.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 42c | 904.83$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.07 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked No | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a7c4backed No | 40c | 900$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…61ffbacked No | 42c | 870$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…8f4cbacked No | 42c | 870$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…43debacked Yes | 58c | 870$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…2471backed Yes | 58c | 870$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 51c | 850$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…1a46backed No | 2c | 805$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed No | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 56c | 750$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked No | 31c | 736.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed No | 18c | 700$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 8c | 700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 68c | 688$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 11c | 649.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed No | 31c | 646.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 30c | 621.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 6c | 620$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed No | 32c | 617.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…5f07backed Yes | 59c | 599.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 78c | 595.03$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed No | 12c | 569.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 2c | 500.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 51c | 500.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…f1ffbacked Yes | 58c | 486.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 59c | 457.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 62c | 449.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 58c | 445$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 11c | 441.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 416.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…b1afbacked No | 5c | 408.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed No | 5c | 399.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…f2aabacked No | 30c | 384.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 68c | 373.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 43c | 370.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 39c | 358.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…9f32backed No | 9c | 323.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 56c | 319.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 16c | 307.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed No | 38c | 307.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked No | 29c | 306.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 6c | 305.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked No | 39c | 301.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…1f99backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…fd6dbacked No | 12c | 299.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 56c | 288.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…1ca1backed No | 11c | 279.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed No | 8c | 278.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.