Us Politics · resolved market

Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb158d4d7ce1851908c2fa59f82028c9a4e0cfcb2f3bf23ac82b0d955f1d5c7ab

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,551 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	67c	8,699$5,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,884.22	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6906…9cbdbacked No	35c	4,960$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.13	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed No	25c	4,189$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.71	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…0e8ebacked No	35c	3,930$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7304…0379backed No	36c	3,287$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.93	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…6a1cbacked No	34c	3,003$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	59c	2,614$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.98	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked No	37c	2,312$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.68	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes	79c	1,700$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.99	169	43.2%73 W · 96 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No	13c	1,638$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.48	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	59c	1,479$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.86	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	43c	1,051$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.66	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked No	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	71c	999.98$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.99	103	24.3%25 W · 78 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e4…b676backed No	15c	991.44$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.3	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa459…635bbacked No	23c	933.39$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	66c	891$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.18	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd06f…d4a6backed No	55c	840.18$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.77	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	31c	670.07$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.47	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…4c5abacked No	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.69	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c0…7bd8backed No	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes	51c	593$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.72	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes	65c	571.33$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.87	135	40%54 W · 81 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	73c	507.28$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.46	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…251cbacked No	6c	497.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-5.9wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	33c	445.62$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.42	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes	39c	434.94$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.68	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x577c…7dd1backed Yes	59c	376$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.41	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No	9c	364.26$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes	63c	352$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.87	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	79c	339$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.19	151	55%83 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes	61c	333.32$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.22	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x686a…966bbacked Yes	50c	316$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.24	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+7.5wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9a3f…6134backed No	35c	313.2$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed No	45c	312.9$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.37	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked No	27c	306.33$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.88	189	14.3%27 W · 162 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…8c5bbacked No	35c	305.57$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee7…8f5bbacked No	23c	294.31$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…ab47backed No	12c	286.36$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	60c	270.98$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.36	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…515fbacked No	31c	254.09$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4e2…a960backed Yes	51c	247.44$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.25	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34a…6007backed No	49c	247.44$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.25	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	59c	230.11$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.07	172	25%43 W · 129 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed No	63c	228.28$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.82	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	15c	207$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	62c	203.36$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.28	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	56c	200.62$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.57	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No	37c	200$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	101	37.6%38 W · 63 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9d…446dbacked No	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84dd…8701backed Yes	80c	199$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…1016backed No	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	19c	162.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.81	355	19.7%70 W · 285 L	-16.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5446…18f6backed No	65c	160$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No	55c	153.8$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.11	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked No	31c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x927e…60b9backed Yes	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…146dbacked No	23c	140$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f77…a9a9backed No	16c	133.92$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	76c	121.67$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	94	26.6%25 W · 69 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc3…de08backed No	46c	120$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.78	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked No	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92a…3558backed No	50c	114.64$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…77c7backed No	47c	114$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73d7…82b3backed Yes	73c	112$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.24	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	77cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb1…01acbacked No	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc91…3330backed Yes	70c	107.14$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes	69c	105$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.55	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7d…d41cbacked No	59c	101.08$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked No	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc979…4a98backed Yes	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2803…0dd7backed No	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29e0…830bbacked Yes	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+74%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x802d…3290backed Yes	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.55	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5468…d86ebacked No	20c	98.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3eb…0829backed No	45c	89.16$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No	21c	87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	303	19.1%58 W · 245 L	-20.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe45a…95ebbacked No	69c	85$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…46d6backed Yes	70c	85$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6a…0b81backed No	14c	73.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	42cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked No	34c	70$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22d…ce8abacked Yes	41c	70$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	34cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4096…5be2backed No	47c	67.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d37…f4a4backed No	30c	65.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	8.5%7 W · 75 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb360…07f4backed Yes	73c	61.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bf…be4bbacked No	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb1…b398backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b9…aae8backed Yes	38c	52.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.89	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	159	24.5%39 W · 120 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc7…8c0abacked No	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cb…6c2abacked Yes	34c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d31…9862backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.83	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+38%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a06…41c9backed No	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a6…3133backed Yes	31c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54af…c148backed Yes	66c	45.13$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fa…196dbacked Yes	71c	44.48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?this page
Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event