Us Politics · resolved market
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66bc5018b4810848734bd2519750e03252fb9617c2d9e057f657efbb03f9a538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $780,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,169,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 5c | 50,673$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.09 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8489…208dbacked No | 3c | 29,401$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…7a2cbacked No | 0c | 24,455$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed No | 2c | 11,433$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked No | 5c | 9,340$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 7,715$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 1c | 7,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…c801backed No | 5c | 6,111$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 6c | 5,772$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.35 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…584ebacked No | 2c | 5,100$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 4,877$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked No | 1c | 4,628$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…1facbacked No | 7c | 4,552$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 2c | 4,547$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 2c | 4,432$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e4…bd71backed No | 4c | 3,293$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed No | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 3c | 2,782$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…fd6dbacked No | 1c | 2,350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…142fbacked No | 2c | 2,175$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40d…0862backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 4c | 2,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 4c | 1,931$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 6c | 1,854$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 3c | 1,648$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…e178backed No | 2c | 1,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 1c | 1,567$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…ed51backed No | 2c | 1,520$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 4c | 1,477$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…b519backed No | 1c | 1,398$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…9567backed No | 7c | 1,352$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…e198backed No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked No | 5c | 1,170$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 6c | 1,158$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…1538backed No | 2c | 1,140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568a…89b9backed No | 2c | 1,076$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 1,057$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…c151backed No | 10c | 1,024$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…08e9backed No | 3c | 1,008$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…a623backed No | 3c | 1,001$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed No | 7c | 1,001$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…f0f3backed No | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…726bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…a2dfbacked No | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…7c42backed No | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 2c | 999.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed No | 1c | 963.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…2687backed No | 1c | 844.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed No | 6c | 842.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 2c | 666$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 2c | 639.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…5452backed No | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3b…7edcbacked No | 2c | 605.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e4…5e22backed No | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…1c0dbacked No | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 6c | 565.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…6a22backed No | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed No | 5c | 500.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed No | 6c | 499.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed No | 2c | 463.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 5c | 439.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 3c | 414.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…6311backed No | 2c | 410.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed No | 5c | 398.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed No | 7c | 394.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 4c | 380$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed No | 7c | 347.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed No | 4c | 330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…5093backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed No | 5c | 260.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed No | 18c | 259.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed No | 6c | 204.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…489fbacked No | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c725backed No | 7c | 173.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…b990backed No | 12c | 169.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…ae8bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 74c | 60.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…9611backed No | 21c | 46.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.