Us Politics · resolved market

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc6177f0eff27807481f2a4e56646ca7e67e4efa72eb24316db5ad1f1b75c34

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $363,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $386,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	10c	18,524$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,791.06	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	18c	6,256$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.77	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes	6c	5,754$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.95	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc19d…865ebacked Yes	5c	5,274$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.75	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes	31c	5,078$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,598.06	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No	66c	4,537$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,526.6	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	24c	4,473$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.71	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…a2b2backed Yes	6c	4,329$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.48	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	6c	4,179$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.47	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Yes	14c	3,552$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.52	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed No	74c	3,441$2,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.47	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f77…b4e3backed Yes	36c	3,397$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.26	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed Yes	41c	3,200$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.73	119	50.4%60 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…7105backed Yes	30c	3,199$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.09	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	6c	2,999$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.86	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f5…19dabacked No	76c	2,971$2,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.04	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes	30c	2,645$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	8c	2,536$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.68	103	24.3%25 W · 78 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x138d…4bc0backed Yes	79c	2,530$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.83	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.32per pick	46cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	40c	2,260$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.62	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes	5c	2,107$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fc…4e30backed Yes	40c	2,060$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.6	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	7c	1,924$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.48	189	14.3%27 W · 162 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes	7c	1,780$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…5c51backed Yes	60c	1,760$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Yes	11c	1,661$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.41	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No	32c	1,643$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.49	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	12c	1,640$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.23	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5757…d638backed Yes	13c	1,607$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fe…e320backed Yes	58c	1,577$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.46	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+182.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes	31c	1,530$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.3	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	1c	1,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	378	44.4%168 W · 210 L	+33.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	22c	1,500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.22per pick	28cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	42c	1,421$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.05	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed Yes	74c	1,243$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.21	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe219…676abacked Yes	4c	1,241$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	52c	1,196$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.62	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9287…8556backed Yes	9c	1,160$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c0…564cbacked Yes	7c	1,159$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.25	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes	15c	1,133$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.11	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f00…7addbacked Yes	27c	1,120$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes	23c	1,100$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.07	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	11c	1,072$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	103	24.3%25 W · 78 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Yes	25c	1,049$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No	77c	1,012$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.06	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5753…2a0ebacked Yes	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…954bbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec40…fce5backed No	24c	1,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes	33c	980.04$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes	52c	949.99$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.49	169	43.2%73 W · 96 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	23c	932$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.66	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes	17c	929.46$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.66	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d2…1472backed Yes	5c	915.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked No	23c	911.7$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.11	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…f954backed No	45c	910.88$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadd…72dfbacked Yes	11c	900$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbabe…9260backed Yes	8c	900$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc3…de08backed Yes	49c	888$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.18	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb32…db85backed Yes	20c	844.83$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.5	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d5…1f99backed Yes	24c	800$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.38	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaaa…fd78backed No	65c	764.84$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Yes	49c	763.87$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.7	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	7c	750$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…4e7abacked Yes	8c	743.4$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.05	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e0…f68abacked Yes	8c	741.34$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.53	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5468…d86ebacked Yes	30c	736.14$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.46	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Yes	5c	735.83$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…b4a3backed No	79c	732.02$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.5	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8797…bbbebacked Yes	5c	711$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.42	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	6c	700$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	283	20.5%58 W · 225 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	27c	643.28$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.51	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes	56c	629.25$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.24	187	46.5%87 W · 100 L	+16.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked No	71c	611.21$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.56	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…d197backed Yes	10c	597.47$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes	5c	573.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.83	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes	7c	567.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.21	98	10.2%10 W · 88 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3eb…0829backed Yes	16c	559.2$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.17	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67f7…b90abacked Yes	2c	504.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d7…73a1backed Yes	70c	500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked No	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes	50c	464.34$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.86	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a6…3133backed Yes	8c	444.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…6318backed No	68c	444$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.08	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe63…88b5backed Yes	11c	440$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	19c	420$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.59	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	27c	410.35$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.79	172	25%43 W · 129 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde39…c8b9backed Yes	5c	401.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68c…2addbacked Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf217…b8efbacked Yes	8c	400$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…0473backed Yes	10c	387.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+110.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	18c	343.94$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.33	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed Yes	20c	339.56$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	66	25.8%17 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed No	73c	337.85$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.32	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+22.8wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+56%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x68b7…c0bcbacked No	38c	332.23$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.82	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	28c	329.89$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.01	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-56%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	30c	325.95$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?this page
Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event