Us Politics · resolved market
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd1f153fdf60fb88b72126e8ee7373a54723dc678833e0a000b366f5379d296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 4c | 11,144$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.99 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 11,008$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.51 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 17c | 10,596$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.63 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…388fbacked No | 0c | 9,883$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 1c | 4,932$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked No | 3c | 4,632$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739e…00fcbacked No | 1c | 4,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed No | 40c | 3,977$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,732$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.04 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 49c | 3,535$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.69 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 78c | 3,383$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 38c | 3,366$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.27 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed No | 39c | 3,336$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed No | 65c | 3,082$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 79c | 3,046$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.4 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 61c | 2,622$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.39 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 69c | 2,593$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Yes | 23c | 2,537$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…f8febacked No | 3c | 2,300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 1c | 2,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…8ab7backed No | 0c | 2,170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed No | 66c | 2,116$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 79c | 2,104$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.36 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…6912backed No | 21c | 2,046$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed No | 39c | 1,901$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed No | 28c | 1,892$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 65c | 1,788$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 77c | 1,650$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.9 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 59c | 1,640$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 11c | 1,614$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.59 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…659abacked No | 38c | 1,580$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…3537backed Yes | 35c | 1,529$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 1,472$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.76 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 23c | 1,421$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.03 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 47c | 1,406$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.36 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…4e12backed No | 1c | 1,374$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 7c | 1,372$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 79c | 1,356$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed No | 1c | 1,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Yes | 37c | 1,336$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,293$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…0b82backed No | 23c | 1,232$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 1c | 1,229$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0450…e0ddbacked No | 4c | 1,189$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 47c | 1,167$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.19 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…7a5fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,138$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…3af6backed Yes | 41c | 1,132$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 62c | 1,091$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac4…1c0fbacked No | 60c | 1,045$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 65c | 1,025$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.76 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 78c | 976.18$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 31c | 898.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.65 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 2c | 873.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…09a3backed No | 35c | 871.34$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 34c | 813.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.39 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 38c | 799.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…0fe5backed No | 70c | 783.99$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 773.77$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…0669backed No | 7c | 768.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 71c | 750.58$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 8c | 742.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 74c | 699.97$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 695.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.21 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x750f…8c52backed No | 2c | 693.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…80c2backed No | 14c | 689.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes | 32c | 629.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…8f01backed No | 70c | 601$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…ce31backed Yes | 17c | 597$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 15c | 580.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked No | 19c | 579.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 35c | 567.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 65c | 550$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…2ce6backed No | 4c | 531.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 59c | 525$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…38f3backed Yes | 29c | 505.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 501$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…fd1dbacked No | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…3f6abacked Yes | 40c | 474$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…b4c3backed Yes | 38c | 468.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…0b81backed No | 67c | 454.43$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 67c | 450$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 47c | 424.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…7c20backed No | 36c | 421.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…fa11backed Yes | 36c | 420.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728e…8a74backed Yes | 24c | 418.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked No | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 65c | 397.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.22 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9cbdbacked No | 72c | 371.41$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 32c | 370.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.17 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…1018backed No | 24c | 365.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 11c | 360.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 20c | 360$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked No | 67c | 355.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed Yes | 26c | 355$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Yes | 4c | 349.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 12cpaid | +818.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.