Us Politics · resolved market
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9713d76e1f3c3d5b87bd781bbaa821edd74ce6d63132ac967a0a9e2179708b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf0…0245backed No | 5c | 4,629$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 5c | 4,028$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 3,737$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 3,308$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.84 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 11c | 2,710$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 6c | 1,992$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 17c | 1,992$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed No | 25c | 1,822$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…e198backed No | 12c | 1,759$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 12c | 1,689$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 5c | 1,681$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 12c | 1,611$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 4c | 1,564$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked No | 12c | 1,522$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 14c | 1,466$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 3c | 1,384$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 1,247$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 11c | 1,111$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed No | 20c | 1,110$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 4c | 1,050$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked No | 13c | 1,024$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed No | 13c | 1,007$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 8c | 1,006$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…cdcebacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed No | 21c | 995.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 4c | 899.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed No | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 12c | 706$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 11c | 696.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked No | 4c | 683.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…5a9bbacked No | 13c | 680.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 15c | 649.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…4bc0backed Yes | 79c | 480$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 6c | 454$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 9c | 442.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 10c | 410.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…3f8dbacked No | 5c | 410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…da6abacked No | 6c | 406.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…61ddbacked No | 24c | 404$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 16c | 401.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 14c | 395.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…750ebacked No | 5c | 374.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…5adabacked No | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed No | 12c | 350$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 12c | 316.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 24c | 305.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 14c | 278.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 4c | 274.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…a749backed No | 18c | 274.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…756ebacked No | 15c | 263.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed No | 7c | 253.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 17c | 250.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked No | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed No | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd1…acadbacked No | 10c | 211.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 14c | 211$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 72c | 208.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…488bbacked No | 6c | 202.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1f22backed No | 14c | 202.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 14c | 200.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…cdb4backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed No | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 61c | 190.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…fd6dbacked No | 11c | 189.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…57b4backed No | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 14c | 179.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c725backed No | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 32c | 157.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed No | 16c | 156.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 7c | 152.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…1f27backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed No | 14c | 145.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 11c | 132.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…482dbacked No | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…b398backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 10c | 114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 16c | 112.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…1930backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 14c | 110.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 17c | 104.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…5f95backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.