Us Politics · resolved market
Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f4f92abb9fbc53bd197589158530b138c8ce40472f48fd69b9613d9a37079b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 0c | 127,101$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 0c | 25,283$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 0c | 25,270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 1c | 23,221$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 0c | 17,940$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 1c | 10,766$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ec6bbacked Yes | 31c | 10,125$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 10,098$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 23c | 9,808$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 28c | 8,624$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,446$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 0c | 8,045$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 78c | 6,764$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 8c | 6,205$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.78 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked No | 72c | 5,364$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…a2f8backed Yes | 1c | 5,155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…8ce4backed Yes | 0c | 5,080$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,060$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…a0b1backed Yes | 3c | 3,618$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…ca28backed Yes | 2c | 3,357$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Yes | 2c | 3,151$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed23…9930backed Yes | 5c | 2,473$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed No | 40c | 2,390$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked No | 17c | 2,313$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.55 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Yes | 10c | 2,130$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 17c | 1,643$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.28 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 66c | 1,625$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…e4a8backed No | 7c | 1,494$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 75c | 1,207$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…4580backed Yes | 68c | 1,173$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Yes | 46c | 1,171$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 61c | 1,094$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.79 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 9c | 1,073$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…ab51backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…da6abacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 59c | 837.08$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…baf2backed Yes | 60c | 821.36$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 8c | 788.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.18 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 31c | 763.34$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…81d1backed Yes | 25c | 730.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 17c | 687.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.58 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…927abacked Yes | 2c | 655.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 5c | 630$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 624.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.38 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 12c | 553.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 28c | 550.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.01 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…3e46backed Yes | 40c | 497.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 13c | 478.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.51 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed No | 27c | 411.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 79c | 366.32$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…81a2backed Yes | 9c | 335.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…def0backed Yes | 16c | 326.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…65d2backed No | 8c | 322$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 59c | 304.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed No | 29c | 276.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 61c | 275.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 63c | 255$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Yes | 16c | 251.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked No | 5c | 250$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 24c | 235.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.35 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed0…679cbacked Yes | 9c | 235.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…d586backed No | 8c | 227.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,164.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 63c | 203.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…435fbacked Yes | 46c | 200.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739e…00fcbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…b61cbacked No | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 28c | 181$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 7c | 180.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed No | 12c | 161.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 14c | 143.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 26c | 135.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 18c | 122.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…8a37backed No | 19c | 102.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +414.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 48c | 98.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 39c | 93.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 26c | 88.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 78c | 85.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 40c | 81.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…01acbacked No | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c4…d657backed Yes | 20c | 70.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 79c | 65.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked No | 27c | 65.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fd3ebacked Yes | 78c | 54.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 76c | 45.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 70c | 45.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…4b18backed Yes | 50c | 40.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…0669backed No | 29c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 73c | 34.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…05b5backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 52c | 30.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.