Us Politics · resolved market

Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b33145d31ee3b79dbebaaf7d8b8a15befb6f4f6e31793ef73a0ecfd06157d8

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,460,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,522,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,460,457 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf872…9b11backed Yes	4c	105,987$3,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,729.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…abd2backed Yes	3c	47,892$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.54	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	45,500$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d0…67b5backed Yes	4c	36,250$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,577.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09bb…75b9backed Yes	0c	29,965$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…28d5backed Yes	4c	29,428$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.91	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03dd…0cdbbacked Yes	1c	26,912$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	4c	25,239$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.22	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0039…accbbacked Yes	1c	22,910$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ce…d549backed Yes	2c	19,481$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes	12c	15,935$1,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881.42	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+6.6wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	1c	15,500$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	4c	15,124$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.98	124	4.8%6 W · 118 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	1c	13,684$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.88	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	4c	13,526$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.98	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes	1c	12,000$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes	0c	11,904$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…abc0backed Yes	1c	11,784$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.92	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-55%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes	1c	11,685$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x766f…3115backed Yes	0c	11,517$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes	7c	10,595$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.6	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	1c	10,569$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.61	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb997…b1a8backed Yes	2c	9,851$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc406…376bbacked Yes	0c	9,195$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	1c	8,522$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.55	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x593c…72debacked Yes	12c	8,436$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	4c	7,165$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.13	172	25%43 W · 129 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cd…1409backed Yes	4c	6,766$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c32…cdcebacked Yes	4c	6,243$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.07	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad61…a2fbbacked Yes	4c	6,184$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes	1c	5,604$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	153	32.7%50 W · 103 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes	2c	5,556$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ab…c99abacked Yes	3c	5,500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	5,226$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.07	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb093…c66fbacked Yes	5c	5,027$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	1c	5,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes	1c	3,451$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.12	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce95…034dbacked Yes	6c	3,339$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f0…84f8backed Yes	3c	3,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa36…c3febacked Yes	8c	3,150$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f02…a51cbacked Yes	5c	3,000$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	12cpaid	+111%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5000…c5cdbacked Yes	1c	2,936$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes	1c	2,820$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	8c	2,691$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.78	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Yes	4c	2,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.89	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5063…73bbbacked Yes	1c	2,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…a707backed Yes	6c	2,476$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	3c	2,300$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	10cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Yes	5c	2,267$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d4…f46abacked Yes	1c	2,083$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+55%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	3c	2,075$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.46	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…0048backed Yes	4c	2,010$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.41	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+113.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x752e…81c4backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e67…c256backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2139…4b34backed Yes	11c	1,999$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.15	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed Yes	4c	1,888$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.46	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fc6…b817backed Yes	2c	1,800$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+64.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce7…4e7fbacked Yes	6c	1,792$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed Yes	9c	1,700$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce76…493ebacked Yes	12c	1,665$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9ebc…ad77backed Yes	1c	1,557$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	5c	1,400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…21e6backed Yes	4c	1,400$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…fa70backed Yes	4c	1,246$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x652a…338fbacked Yes	10c	1,243$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No	25c	1,194$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.31	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+11.4wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+179.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34ac…6e16backed Yes	3c	1,188$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e13…7831backed Yes	1c	1,161$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd632…8afbbacked Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…d5fcbacked Yes	4c	1,088$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f5…1cedbacked Yes	1c	1,076$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8d…93a8backed Yes	12c	1,064$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44aa…42a4backed Yes	7c	1,041$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d9…a144backed Yes	6c	1,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	1c	999.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	102	11.8%12 W · 90 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fc…0d6dbacked Yes	3c	982.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.44	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	3c	946.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	151	24.5%37 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…d469backed Yes	3c	920.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x932b…64c0backed Yes	7c	900$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.7	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+130.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x220f…44b1backed Yes	3c	887.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc07…6b17backed Yes	3c	886.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cb…6c2abacked Yes	4c	855.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b75…8f36backed Yes	3c	818.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f59…ba1dbacked Yes	7c	757.8$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.74	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5c…5401backed Yes	4c	757.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x188e…54efbacked Yes	4c	721.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc178…35b3backed No	25c	715.29$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.76	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+10.2wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+133.6%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Yes	2c	713.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x879e…d6d2backed Yes	4c	704.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	5c	677.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	170	21.2%36 W · 134 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf422…6743backed Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-6.5wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2621…af21backed Yes	3c	575.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…8c5bbacked Yes	5c	556.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aaf…2834backed Yes	3c	527.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37fc…d74bbacked Yes	4c	510.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	19cpaid	+237.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d38…2122backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ba…f725backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?this page
Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event