Us Politics · resolved market
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181de70fe4859c45454c24958e6929b1c28419b374b70f8f62d98209266ae82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x241f…3143backed Yes | 66c | 18,017$11,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,931.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 37c | 9,672$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.34 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 71c | 6,283$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.15 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…dfccbacked No | 28c | 5,572$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed No | 20c | 5,163$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Yes | 80c | 4,994$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 24c | 3,693$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.32 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,283$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,275$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.75 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 32c | 2,306$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.26 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked No | 69c | 2,016$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 12c | 2,000$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.99 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 51c | 1,955$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed Yes | 2c | 1,798$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…ec05backed Yes | 2c | 1,795$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 15c | 1,660$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Yes | 42c | 1,369$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…8556backed Yes | 2c | 1,364$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 71c | 1,139$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.77 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 53c | 1,120$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.41 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 65c | 1,082$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…d98bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,056$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed No | 33c | 1,010$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…9599backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…4206backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 35c | 951.83$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.14 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 48c | 911.86$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 50c | 899.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 57c | 872.26$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.76 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 49c | 869.32$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.47 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 13c | 826.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a7c4backed No | 18c | 805.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.61 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 47c | 801.55$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 2c | 789.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 57c | 762.8$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.8 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 16c | 617.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 45c | 613.01$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 18c | 575.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed No | 33c | 545.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 58c | 535.88$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.33 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 35c | 523.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed No | 64c | 504.28$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3f…3d36backed No | 44c | 490.41$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked Yes | 49c | 458.16$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 22c | 450$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked No | 54c | 441.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 73c | 364.43$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked No | 28c | 364$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 63c | 356.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed No | 15c | 343.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 337.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 22c | 324.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed No | 16c | 323.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 24c | 282.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed Yes | 16c | 252$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9cbdbacked No | 16c | 250$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 17c | 250$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 41c | 239.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…488bbacked No | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 22c | 228.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…25acbacked No | 71c | 205.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 20c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 17c | 199.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…6f57backed No | 18c | 199.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 50c | 197$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ff7cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed Yes | 47c | 182.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 19c | 179$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.87 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…c6a7backed No | 26c | 176.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 57c | 174.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…e00bbacked No | 14c | 172$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 79c | 172$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No | 30c | 169.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 56c | 167.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 45c | 165.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 55c | 144.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…46cfbacked Yes | 54c | 141.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…b945backed No | 15c | 129.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 76c | 129.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 57c | 122.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…e496backed No | 35c | 101.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked No | 53c | 100.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…4df9backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…a4f1backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 14c | 99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?this page
- Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Brad Garlinghouse attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Nayib Bukele attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?Yes won
- Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Viktor Orban attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?No won
- Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.