TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc360…0c46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,613Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+83.4%+$7,186.3
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$414
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,960
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,584.99
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$27.91
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+88.1%+$616.87
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$500
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+98.3%+$196.62
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+50.6%+$50.62
220-239 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$10
180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.71
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+53%+$53.03
Braves vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$96.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$88.33
Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+277.8%+$277.78
Will Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+56.4%+$56.41
Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.65
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+28.4%+$28.43
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+68.3%+$34.14
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+47%+$234.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$132
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.