MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99b8db96c673dce43e95e980fc03e7c52938f4e4efd046ba04043892ed07305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Cubs, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Cubs | 46c | 220,806$102,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,191.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 39c | 65,072$25,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,694 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Marlins | 39c | 51,538$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,437.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 59c | 41,862$24,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,015.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…2fe6backed Cubs | 61c | 34,185$20,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,852.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…a78ebacked Marlins | 39c | 33,730$13,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,575.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 62c | 20,599$12,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,753.77 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 48c | 19,721$9,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,195 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1745…7755backed Marlins | 39c | 9,995$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4b…2b22backed Cubs | 61c | 9,992$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 38c | 9,942$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.19 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 38c | 6,587$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.82 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 37c | 4,344$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 38c | 3,337$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Marlins | 31c | 2,947$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.66 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 50c | 2,705$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 2c | 2,574$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 39c | 2,206$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…7829backed Cubs | 62c | 2,200$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Cubs | 61c | 2,020$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.95 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…8aa8backed Marlins | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 39c | 1,786$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.13 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Cubs | 62c | 1,611$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Marlins | 38c | 1,609$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins | 38c | 1,414$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.78 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 36c | 1,404$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Cubs | 69c | 1,300$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Marlins | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cubs | 59c | 1,254$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.46 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 78c | 1,200$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 65c | 1,169$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…52b5backed Marlins | 38c | 1,134$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 51c | 1,107$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 59c | 1,070$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…9fc1backed Cubs | 62c | 1,061$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Cubs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…ab8abacked Cubs | 62c | 899.97$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…ec44backed Cubs | 62c | 839$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cubs | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 3c | 736.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 60c | 699.95$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 37c | 697.44$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.39 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…eeffbacked Marlins | 39c | 680$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 39c | 676.77$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 14c | 630$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…bb61backed Cubs | 36c | 619.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Marlins | 32c | 583.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.65 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f17…f232backed Cubs | 62c | 556.45$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 26c | 542.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.97 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…8d16backed Marlins | 38c | 511.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cubs | 40c | 507.84$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Cubs | 58c | 504.87$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Cubs | 60c | 503.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Marlins | 19c | 500$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…a31dbacked Marlins | 39c | 455$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Marlins | 39c | 448.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.72 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…3620backed Cubs | 59c | 444.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Cubs | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 26c | 388.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.42 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…7ddebacked Marlins | 38c | 381.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 71c | 378.87$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Marlins | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…9179backed Marlins | 40c | 341.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Marlins | 67c | 337$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 37c | 325.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…1660backed Cubs | 63c | 324.06$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…0d78backed Cubs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…2103backed Cubs | 62c | 311.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cubs | 75c | 308$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Marlins | 36c | 299.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Marlins | 39c | 288.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…bce5backed Cubs | 63c | 283.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…7568backed Cubs | 63c | 282.92$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 36c | 279.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…ecd4backed Cubs | 62c | 274.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Marlins | 23c | 270$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Marlins | 39c | 266.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…c32bbacked Cubs | 38c | 253.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cubs | 29c | 243.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…07febacked Marlins | 39c | 207.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 60c | 195$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 62c | 188.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…d6c3backed Marlins | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…adc4backed Cubs | 62c | 177$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…d0acbacked Cubs | 62c | 173$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Cubs | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a450backed Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe460…c508backed Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.