TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbef…c32b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.48
Rowe vs. Kobacked Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$59.18
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.24
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.1
Dulgarian vs. del Vallebacked Dulgarian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.41
Radtke vs. Frunzabacked Frunza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$229.2
UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. Bedoyabacked Bedoya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasabacked Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$71
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$117.6
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+49.3%+$79.89
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$42.56
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$26.23
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$623.91
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+38.1%+$641.21
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+30.3%+$150.08
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$89.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$119.79
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$130.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$13.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$66.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+35.1%+$120.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$366.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$482.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.