NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920344cfde22aa05d6d68ed914485b2964cc1bbba7b0b4b636f5dcea96caf47b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bears | 24c | 127,552$30,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,662.42 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Lions | 77c | 77,459$59,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,059.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Lions | 76c | 59,393$45,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,150.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bears | 24c | 52,078$12,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,469.5 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bears | 24c | 44,999$10,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,869.81 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bears | 25c | 40,343$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.51 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Bears | 24c | 27,479$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.33 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bears | 11c | 27,037$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.8 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Lions | 75c | 22,713$17,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.49 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 23c | 21,528$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.6 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Bears | 24c | 18,877$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.35 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Lions | 76c | 16,976$12,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bears | 24c | 15,794$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.62 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions | 77c | 15,757$12,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.13 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bears | 23c | 13,995$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.73 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bears | 24c | 12,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.96 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 10c | 10,307$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.58 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Lions | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Bears | 25c | 9,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Lions | 76c | 6,800$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Lions | 76c | 6,578$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.61 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Lions | 77c | 6,500$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bears | 24c | 6,225$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.18 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Lions | 76c | 5,229$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.98 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Bears | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Lions | 75c | 5,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Bears | 26c | 4,935$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Lions | 76c | 4,582$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 76c | 4,500$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lions | 74c | 4,447$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.12 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bears | 19c | 4,297$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.9 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Lions | 75c | 4,256$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Lions | 76c | 4,079$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…0b03backed Bears | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Lions | 76c | 3,960$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bears | 24c | 3,940$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Bears | 25c | 3,819$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.64 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bears | 21c | 3,569$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.88 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Bears | 5c | 3,452$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Bears | 25c | 3,373$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.34 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…3d0cbacked Lions | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Lions | 76c | 3,158$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Lions | 75c | 3,080$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Bears | 25c | 3,006$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.36 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Lions | 76c | 2,775$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.07 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Lions | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lions | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Bears | 25c | 2,286$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Lions | 77c | 2,178$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bears | 24c | 2,178$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.08 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Lions | 76c | 2,130$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Bears | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Lions | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…2368backed Bears | 25c | 1,976$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…ccbabacked Lions | 76c | 1,647$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bears | 24c | 1,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lions | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…c973backed Lions | 75c | 1,465$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lions | 75c | 1,361$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bears | 2c | 1,332$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Lions | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…9ea7backed Lions | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Lions | 76c | 1,298$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lions | 76c | 1,118$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Lions | 76c | 1,111$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Lions | 76c | 1,095$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.19 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Bears | 25c | 1,017$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lions | 79c | 1,000$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Lions | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Lions | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lions | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Bears | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bears | 26c | 905.4$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…9301backed Lions | 76c | 886.9$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…f525backed Lions | 76c | 854.3$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bears | 10c | 852.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Bears | 24c | 799.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Bears | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lions | 76c | 746.05$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.05 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…ec7bbacked Lions | 77c | 737.89$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Bears | 25c | 734$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Lions | 76c | 723.68$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Bears | 25c | 676.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Bears | 25c | 660.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Lions | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…0268backed Lions | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…5e07backed Lions | 76c | 656.97$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…c32bbacked Lions | 77c | 645.93$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lions | 79c | 597.56$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Lions | 76c | 557.24$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…9fabbacked Bears | 5c | 550$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…3fc4backed Lions | 76c | 530.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Lions | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Lions | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…7883backed Bears | 8c | 518.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bears | 24c | 509.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…0194backed Lions | 75c | 508.13$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Bears | 25c | 503.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.