TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7ec…2271

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$86.52
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+68.4%+$42.81
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$29.31
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.38
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.34
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$327.08
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+65.3%+$39.5
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+36.5%+$451.7
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$462.63
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+29.2%+$798.82
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+44.9%+$433.97
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+48.2%+$484.55
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$291.8
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$537.85
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$266.72
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$156.27
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$61.61
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+37%+$67.21
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$60.05
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+37%+$228.89
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+31.6%+$113.52
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+69.5%+$146.71
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,043.12
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+40.3%+$136.69
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+66.7%+$24
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$431.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.