NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda1435e7e82e25c012d3710f178a25681d7fd40347c23565bb96085a076d40f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x470f…400fbacked Celtics | 60c | 63,000$37,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed Knicks | 40c | 63,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 70c | 17,307$12,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.16 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 39c | 10,000$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.62 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Celtics | 61c | 9,287$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.93 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Knicks | 41c | 6,276$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.69 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Celtics | 70c | 5,816$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Celtics | 73c | 5,615$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.11 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 3c | 5,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics | 59c | 5,364$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.4 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 41c | 5,050$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Knicks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Knicks | 18c | 4,000$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 59c | 3,409$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.13 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 40c | 3,309$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks | 1c | 3,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 20c | 2,553$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Knicks | 42c | 2,383$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…c459backed Knicks | 14c | 2,321$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Celtics | 58c | 2,250$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Celtics | 63c | 2,174$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.39 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Knicks | 40c | 1,974$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.58 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks | 41c | 1,957$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.54 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Knicks | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 58c | 1,881$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.74 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Celtics | 60c | 1,799$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.54 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 66c | 1,643$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Knicks | 30c | 1,617$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Knicks | 43c | 1,601$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Celtics | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Knicks | 37c | 1,572$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.61 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 43c | 1,537$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.52 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Celtics | 74c | 1,439$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Knicks | 18c | 1,300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Celtics | 62c | 1,295$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.1 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Knicks | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 42c | 1,170$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.58 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 25c | 1,145$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Knicks | 19c | 1,038$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Celtics | 77c | 1,034$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.83 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Celtics | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.24 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Knicks | 37c | 1,015$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.55 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Knicks | 1c | 1,014$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics | 63c | 1,012$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.84 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Knicks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 38c | 1,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.96 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Knicks | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Knicks | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 4c | 969.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Celtics | 60c | 821.97$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.79 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Knicks | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.57 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks | 40c | 667.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Knicks | 32c | 623.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 59c | 604.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Knicks | 34c | 580.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks | 37c | 574.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Celtics | 59c | 540.19$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Knicks | 29c | 533$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Celtics | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Celtics | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Celtics | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Knicks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…eab3backed Knicks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…6ddabacked Celtics | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…acbdbacked Celtics | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…0ca9backed Knicks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…f30fbacked Celtics | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Knicks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Knicks | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…fd7bbacked Celtics | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…dc25backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…a662backed Celtics | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd153…6eb1backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…9bbcbacked Celtics | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…c2ecbacked Celtics | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…d420backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…49edbacked Celtics | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…e4b5backed Knicks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…c3d8backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…8c3abacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa08…bc8dbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Knicks | 42c | 495.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Celtics | 59c | 494.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…77d9backed Knicks | 23c | 480$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Knicks | 26c | 475.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 73c | 445.54$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Celtics | 57c | 433.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…c585backed Knicks | 39c | 420.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Knicks | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Celtics | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Celtics | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Knicks | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Celtics | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Celtics | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Knicks | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Celtics | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.