TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Kings, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$544,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17c7…c9d8backed Pelicans25c146,000$36,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7e…0ba8backed Kings75c145,992$109,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,494.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings65c53,518$34,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,795.0947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans30c42,094$12,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,353.9533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a4…83cebacked Pelicans26c24,331$6,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,114.512937.9%11 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pelicans38c12,749$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,962.9722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Kings75c11,722$8,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,778.3612663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings75c8,864$6,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,647.7276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pelicans66c6,642$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.231,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans26c5,500$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.9546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans36c5,133$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.423,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings4c4,551$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.051,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Kings74c4,086$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.4224554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans25c4,040$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5e…49bbbacked Pelicans25c3,899$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94e…5a27backed Kings73c3,899$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Kings77c3,896$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings74c3,472$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.2877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…b360backed Kings15c3,365$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings29c3,194$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.181,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Kings65c3,159$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.3714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans25c3,005$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.5940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Kings73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.7815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Kings74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans28c2,973$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.2925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings78c2,863$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.1336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…41dfbacked Kings74c2,703$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings62c2,671$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…66eebacked Pelicans27c2,600$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.063100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+214.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans26c2,506$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.7530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings72c2,412$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.2573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Kings72c2,042$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9217546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Kings73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.987860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans25c1,771$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.1730440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Kings48c1,725$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82720447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings66c1,653$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.835,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Kings43c1,600$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9912232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Kings74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Pelicans26c1,500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.962352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee5b…0e96backed Pelicans26c1,498$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…4afebacked Pelicans27c1,491$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd598…9c3cbacked Pelicans77c1,439$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…57efbacked Pelicans26c1,438$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.151250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Kings75c1,400$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.989563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Kings73c1,394$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Pelicans27c1,393$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.0722430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings73c1,358$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kings75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings54c1,285$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.491,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings73c1,228$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.831,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Kings74c1,213$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Kings74c1,191$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8827150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pelicans49c1,167$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1826934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans30c1,070$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans26c1,036$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8532130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Pelicans29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.484738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ec…2271backed Kings75c1,014$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…43a5backed Kings75c1,010$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.154969.4%34 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Kings69c966.75$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.2517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7488…a277backed Kings73c962.45$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings74c937$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.3857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e48backed Kings77c882.64$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Pelicans40c878.38$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0319152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans62c875.11$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…7f1ebacked Kings75c848$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Kings75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings4c789.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.488783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7426124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Pelicans39c705.9$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.64870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Kings74c697.6$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.227451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Pelicans29c694.4$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3523135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings39c625.33$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pelicans27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43830251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6012…7cd2backed Kings75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e042backed Kings75c592$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings77c585.63$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44919944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Pelicans22c581.6$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.099534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings58c577.11$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pelicans68c569.95$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0214563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans27c566.93$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5726640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Kings73c547.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Pelicans59c529.55$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.855660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c3…16adbacked Kings73c529$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pelicans29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Pelicans32c493.71$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7216537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pelicans32c482.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4329450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans31c467.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2920248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans26c461.61$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.5920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings73c412.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Pelicans25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Pelicans26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6210240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.