NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8acf544737d099b2b0e6a86f5e8164fa0dc8cadd053df7161370227c972f9949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $726,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $910,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Lakers | 77c | 77,115$59,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,805.37 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Warriors | 26c | 50,461$13,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,230.99 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 15c | 40,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 12c | 36,520$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 38c | 11,583$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.29 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 4c | 11,542$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.51 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 26c | 10,362$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.66 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers | 78c | 8,896$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.85 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 30c | 7,590$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 69c | 5,955$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.59 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 29c | 5,776$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.15 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers | 62c | 5,679$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.03 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Warriors | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 29c | 4,822$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.42 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 80c | 4,771$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.46 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Warriors | 28c | 4,600$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 15c | 4,529$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.87 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 70c | 4,294$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.3 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lakers | 74c | 4,148$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.7 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 20c | 4,000$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 33c | 3,610$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.43 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 72c | 3,608$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 66c | 3,543$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.56 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Lakers | 66c | 3,391$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.71 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 73c | 3,035$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.09 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…8a8dbacked Warriors | 16c | 2,733$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…a4fdbacked Warriors | 27c | 2,679$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Warriors | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Warriors | 15c | 2,550$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…1e24backed Lakers | 80c | 2,499$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 20c | 2,279$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Warriors | 36c | 2,228$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 12c | 2,200$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Lakers | 67c | 2,103$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.79 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Lakers | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Warriors | 6c | 1,873$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 71c | 1,802$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.45 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Warriors | 9c | 1,754$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 70c | 1,660$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.08 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Lakers | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 29c | 1,494$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 15c | 1,350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Warriors | 6c | 1,337$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Lakers | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 7c | 1,299$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Lakers | 69c | 1,223$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…b747backed Warriors | 30c | 1,193$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Warriors | 22c | 1,153$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Lakers | 70c | 1,130$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…957abacked Lakers | 74c | 1,124$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 73c | 1,111$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 29c | 1,068$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Warriors | 1c | 1,057$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Warriors | 32c | 1,047$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Lakers | 72c | 1,030$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Warriors | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Warriors | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Warriors | 7c | 999.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…449fbacked Lakers | 69c | 958.97$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Lakers | 63c | 952.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Warriors | 27c | 913.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Lakers | 72c | 874.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 29c | 835.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed Lakers | 76c | 821.45$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Warriors | 14c | 777$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Lakers | 70c | 776.97$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Lakers | 72c | 764.8$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Lakers | 70c | 714.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Lakers | 64c | 698.06$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Warriors | 2c | 696.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…62e4backed Lakers | 74c | 671.09$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Lakers | 73c | 664.38$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.38 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Warriors | 31c | 625.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Lakers | 71c | 616.08$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…b508backed Lakers | 74c | 604.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 35c | 589.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Warriors | 30c | 580$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors | 36c | 567.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.46 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Lakers | 73c | 556.67$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Warriors | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Warriors | 4c | 550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Warriors | 10c | 527.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 26c | 518.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Warriors | 18c | 511.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lakers | 69c | 504.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Lakers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Warriors | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Lakers | 72c | 499.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 30c | 494.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Warriors | 10c | 494.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Lakers | 80c | 440.17$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 29c | 424.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Warriors | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.