TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d16…029ebacked Kraken19c1,886$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e16…ce1ebacked Kraken34c1,822$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…618fbacked Devils66c1,822$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kraken20c1,687$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kraken33c1,487$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.611145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kraken20c1,401$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8831546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Devils80c1,372$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.461070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…86babacked Devils69c1,364$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+62.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kraken32c966.23$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.532416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Kraken30c854.93$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken14c794.23$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1913241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Devils75c783.3$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.317054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Devils66c760.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.821850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken20c738.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Devils64c721.82$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils72c649.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken33c594.89$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken34c579.22$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.561,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Devils72c554.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.667153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken34c533.47$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.381,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken14c529.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Devils67c511.76$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils71c500$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.31,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Devils78c473.57$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.716465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kraken4c442.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.237450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Devils73c434.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.391353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Devils69c430$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.39153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd7…5516backed Kraken30c320$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Devils69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8612955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kraken32c282.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4638040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff4a…ad65backed Devils70c275$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…61aabacked Kraken22c257.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Kraken32c256.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.971631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Kraken31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Kraken34c211.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7290%0 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kraken12c207.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken36c204.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Devils73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…0c1abacked Devils66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kraken29c181.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken34c174.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils76c166.74$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils73c157.82$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Kraken32c157.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0a…d2c2backed Kraken30c149.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Devils69c149.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4924347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9937…6202backed Devils68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken29c146.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5779251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Devils71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Devils64c132.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Devils77c129.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kraken39c111.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4362944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Kraken33c105$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.554742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Devils69c104.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7670249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Devils67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Devils65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Kraken20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ec…2271backed Devils69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kraken32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Devils67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kraken34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1e…7ba5backed Devils71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Devils65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Devils69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kraken30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Devils69c99.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.496956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Kraken20c99.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken21c98.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Devils66c91.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Devils67c91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Devils70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4319852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cee…04cabacked Devils70c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc246…b3b1backed Devils70c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…3d4ebacked Kraken31c64.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a2…8a37backed Kraken16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ac…8cf2backed Devils67c58.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9d…a6edbacked Kraken36c58.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Devils70c57.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.233455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b8…c972backed Kraken36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Devils65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8519057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…b073backed Devils65c53.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1571…dc35backed Devils61c49.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f33…a121backed Devils61c48.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd07c…1665backed Devils66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…e1d7backed Devils70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d57…3bd3backed Devils69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Kraken31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Devils65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Kraken35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Kraken35c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x870c…b309backed Kraken35c38.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b56…b224backed Devils66c37.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea40…7350backed Kraken35c36.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88c…d510backed Kraken36c36.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ccd…4b43backed Kraken32c35.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Devils71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb811…d0c9backed Kraken35c35.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…1821backed Devils65c35.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.