NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b32407eb2c89ac34e400dc41dc80dd26d60d3fea823054a972738d16d10ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Chiefs, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,233,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,868,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,233,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chiefs | 63c | 804,282$509,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509,434.28 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Chiefs | 64c | 781,250$500,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499,999.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Chiefs | 63c | 692,745$436,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436,429.34 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys | 37c | 511,315$187,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324,128.24 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cowboys | 37c | 360,213$133,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,056.06 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 36c | 318,859$116,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,542.55 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys | 36c | 261,353$94,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,080.9 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cowboys | 37c | 200,000$74,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Chiefs | 63c | 153,968$97,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cowboys | 36c | 145,000$52,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,399.86 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cowboys | 36c | 116,004$41,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,242.49 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Cowboys | 38c | 106,606$40,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,171.67 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chiefs | 62c | 100,000$62,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,999.8 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs | 63c | 82,544$51,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,987.05 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cowboys | 38c | 82,087$30,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,250.34 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cowboys | 38c | 70,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,200 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 36c | 68,508$24,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,567.72 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cowboys | 36c | 66,666$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,666.24 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cowboys | 38c | 65,335$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,334.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Cowboys | 36c | 60,813$21,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,920.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Chiefs | 67c | 60,354$40,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,164.65 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Cowboys | 37c | 60,255$22,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,958.09 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…a678backed Cowboys | 38c | 59,405$22,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,831.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Chiefs | 64c | 54,823$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Chiefs | 64c | 53,805$34,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,435.47 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…1251backed Chiefs | 63c | 53,165$33,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,494.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 37c | 51,499$19,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,444.59 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Chiefs | 42c | 50,500$21,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,368.93 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Chiefs | 55c | 47,990$26,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,239.81 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Chiefs | 64c | 45,020$28,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,778.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Chiefs | 34c | 43,254$14,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,871.07 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cowboys | 51c | 42,092$21,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,681.48 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Chiefs | 46c | 42,000$19,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,233.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…1849backed Chiefs | 0c | 40,032$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chiefs | 59c | 39,962$23,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,777.17 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chiefs | 16c | 32,522$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.56 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…82a9backed Cowboys | 59c | 31,020$18,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,771.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chiefs | 63c | 30,547$19,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,244.76 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Chiefs | 64c | 30,125$19,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,277.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Chiefs | 63c | 29,465$18,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,562.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Chiefs | 63c | 29,000$18,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Chiefs | 46c | 28,069$12,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,926.27 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys | 37c | 27,027$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,027.03 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Cowboys | 49c | 25,217$12,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,863.76 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Cowboys | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,249.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Chiefs | 63c | 24,324$15,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,261.46 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…0141backed Chiefs | 75c | 24,300$18,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Cowboys | 65c | 24,176$15,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,528.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cowboys | 43c | 23,000$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,060 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Cowboys | 43c | 22,900$9,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,091.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Chiefs | 51c | 22,774$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Chiefs | 63c | 22,144$13,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,951 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys | 47c | 21,547$10,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,389.27 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cowboys | 36c | 20,653$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,217.78 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Chiefs | 60c | 20,320$12,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,129.74 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chiefs | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Cowboys | 42c | 18,891$7,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,956.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Cowboys | 65c | 16,332$10,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Cowboys | 64c | 16,050$10,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Chiefs | 63c | 15,588$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820.3 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Chiefs | 64c | 15,573$9,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,966.91 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chiefs | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cowboys | 35c | 14,685$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,545.49 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chiefs | 63c | 14,304$9,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,011.47 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Chiefs | 51c | 14,177$7,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,194.46 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…b22ebacked Cowboys | 36c | 13,725$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Chiefs | 21c | 13,702$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.17 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Chiefs | 62c | 13,641$8,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,457.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cowboys | 43c | 13,038$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,417.77 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Chiefs | 56c | 13,009$7,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,285 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chiefs | 63c | 12,937$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Chiefs | 60c | 12,654$7,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,623.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Cowboys | 36c | 12,653$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,097.78 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…9e5dbacked Cowboys | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 72c | 11,842$8,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,489.91 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Cowboys | 52c | 11,257$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.94 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Chiefs | 52c | 11,215$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.16 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Chiefs | 56c | 10,800$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Chiefs | 74c | 10,783$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.28 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Chiefs | 22c | 10,578$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.47 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Chiefs | 63c | 10,438$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.88 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…21dabacked Chiefs | 19c | 10,421$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chiefs | 41c | 10,056$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.18 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Chiefs | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Chiefs | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Cowboys | 34c | 10,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Cowboys | 36c | 9,826$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiefs | 17c | 9,820$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…c1e1backed Chiefs | 62c | 9,607$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cd…7049backed Cowboys | 38c | 9,597$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Cowboys | 63c | 9,555$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Cowboys | 38c | 9,528$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cowboys | 59c | 9,520$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.12 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…31a2backed Chiefs | 63c | 9,400$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…4556backed Chiefs | 64c | 9,375$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chiefs | 20c | 9,360$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.15 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Chiefs | 62c | 9,211$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cowboys | 36c | 9,153$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chiefs | 61c | 9,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.75 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Cowboysthis page
- 1H Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 27.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.