NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484bf8ea7f672dd79e396ca29dda2f0862be9f40930aa4b92d747d0c4c3cd8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Chiefs, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,205,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,210,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,205,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Chiefs | 51c | 965,171$495,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495,495.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Chiefs | 48c | 710,869$341,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341,217.11 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cowboys | 52c | 490,658$254,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236,305.47 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cowboys | 52c | 300,794$156,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,381.34 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cowboys | 47c | 243,260$114,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,927.64 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chiefs | 48c | 200,000$95,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,988.87 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cowboys | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Cowboys | 53c | 189,890$100,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,389.74 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cowboys | 50c | 159,228$78,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,381.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Chiefs | 48c | 135,298$64,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,432.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cowboys | 49c | 125,000$61,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,750 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chiefs | 49c | 120,000$58,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cowboys | 51c | 120,000$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,800 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 52c | 119,942$62,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,571.96 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chiefs | 47c | 64,089$30,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,276.78 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chiefs | 48c | 55,990$26,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,924.73 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 51c | 50,437$25,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,468.23 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys | 51c | 47,407$23,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,427.42 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Cowboys | 51c | 41,913$21,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,518.02 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Cowboys | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chiefs | 48c | 37,992$18,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,236.16 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Chiefs | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys | 50c | 34,271$17,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,135.19 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Chiefs | 47c | 24,688$11,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,619.45 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cowboys | 51c | 23,500$11,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,515 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cowboys | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Chiefs | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Chiefs | 33c | 20,000$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.99 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…efebbacked Chiefs | 49c | 18,000$8,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,895.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cowboys | 51c | 14,443$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,143.73 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cowboys | 48c | 14,176$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,358.9 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys | 51c | 12,973$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.98 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chiefs | 47c | 11,967$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605.45 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chiefs | 48c | 11,105$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.19 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cowboys | 52c | 10,039$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.82 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cowboys | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cowboys | 52c | 9,967$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.92 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cowboys | 50c | 9,436$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.77 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Chiefs | 50c | 9,100$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Chiefs | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Chiefs | 49c | 7,911$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cowboys | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Cowboys | 52c | 7,013$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.69 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs | 48c | 6,448$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.04 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Chiefs | 48c | 6,435$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.95 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chiefs | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…f75dbacked Chiefs | 50c | 6,042$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Chiefs | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Cowboys | 51c | 5,772$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.04 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cowboys | 55c | 5,321$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.85 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Chiefs | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cowboys | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cowboys | 52c | 4,578$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.57 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chiefs | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Cowboys | 77c | 4,500$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cowboys | 53c | 4,439$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.24 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Chiefs | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Chiefs | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Cowboys | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys | 62c | 3,902$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.08 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cowboys | 74c | 3,881$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.04 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 3,820$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.34 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Cowboys | 53c | 3,679$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Cowboys | 51c | 3,414$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.43 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Chiefs | 48c | 3,144$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.15 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chiefs | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Chiefs | 47c | 2,969$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Chiefs | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cowboys | 53c | 2,500$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Chiefs | 47c | 2,402$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.94 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Chiefs | 49c | 2,400$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.54 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,194$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.35 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…82f7backed Chiefs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chiefs | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Chiefs | 49c | 2,040$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.39 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Chiefs | 48c | 2,025$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.4 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Chiefs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Chiefs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,946$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.54 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Chiefs | 37c | 1,904$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.7 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chiefs | 47c | 1,820$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.46 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Chiefs | 42c | 1,710$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cowboys | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…d1e5backed Chiefs | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Chiefs | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Chiefs | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Cowboys | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Chiefs | 49c | 1,470$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,343$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.52 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cowboys | 52c | 1,300$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cowboys | 50c | 1,268$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.22 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Chiefs | 47c | 1,250$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Cowboys won
- Chiefs vs. CowboysCowboys won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 27.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.