TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a47…0c54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,757.48
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,995.2
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,985.12
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$63,551.93
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$999.49
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52,374.58
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+105.9%+$2,101.42
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,806.28
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98.82
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$669.8
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$206.88
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$172.6
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$70.84
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+87.9%+$17,833.77
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$236.81
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$282.79
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714.09
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$646.03
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,100
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,200
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$9,162.7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$566.67
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,510.84
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,566.81
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,027.67
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,690.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14,007.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$7,689.88
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,200
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+97%+$1,950.56
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.62
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,231.03
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$600.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$925.37
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$585.8
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,224.36
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$983.33
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+113.4%+$784.58
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$101.94
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,663Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,731.23
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$3,183.76
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$58.17
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+116.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+548.4%+$277.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.23
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,997Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.9%+$1,614.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$370.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,570.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99,920.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$6,993.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.