WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126f7b892b74b2c9a42a9b0ffbf893cb8f95cfd9e8bf852d10ec3ad2ca6ecdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Phoenix Mercury, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.94 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 15,459$7,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400.1 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 11,500$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 10,114$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.7 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 7,777$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.21 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 6,111$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.45 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 5,413$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 4,735$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 4,463$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.67 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 4,136$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 3,696$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.83 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 3,662$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 3,010$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 2,981$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.31 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 2,857$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.92 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,618$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.08 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 2,482$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 2,379$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.45 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 2,243$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.09 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 2,046$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 1,903$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.06 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…3896backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,889$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Los Angeles Sparks | 10c | 1,754$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Los Angeles Sparks | 11c | 1,624$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 1,564$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.36 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 1,557$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.33 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 1,527$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.71 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 1,475$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 1,472$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Los Angeles Sparks | 1c | 1,437$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Los Angeles Sparks | 39c | 1,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 1,269$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.47 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Los Angeles Sparks | 6c | 1,213$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 23c | 1,211$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 37c | 1,131$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.76 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 1,081$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.12 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 1,069$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.19 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 999.7$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 996.12$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.53 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 970.63$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 930$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 902.89$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 855.32$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 844.52$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 809.29$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.83 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 803.78$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.04 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 802.89$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.59 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…3fdabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 796.38$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 753$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.56 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 734.16$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 720$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.13 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 714.56$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 25c | 704.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 696.99$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 9c | 670.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 654.2$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 631.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.15 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 607.29$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 603$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 599.58$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 579$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.45 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 575$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 573$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 567.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 555$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 515.17$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 503$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 502.02$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 31c | 497$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 493.81$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 443.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 442.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.73 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 420.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 12c | 415.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 390.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 385.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 376.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 364$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 357$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 350.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…4325backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 341.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 319.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 312.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 307.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 303.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 298.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 288$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.