TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bulls, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$722,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bulls24c90,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Bulls39c80,000$31,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,242.9320253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bucks76c69,317$52,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,516.4219249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Bucks67c26,565$17,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,885.447144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bucks61c20,115$12,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,844.967745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bulls39c17,488$6,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,817.2736148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks62c16,329$10,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.0334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Bucks60c15,000$9,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.3234645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Bulls38c14,398$5,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,471.098038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ad…5747backed Bulls18c12,222$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks66c12,184$8,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…3f7fbacked Bulls18c11,400$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Bucks61c11,079$6,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.7111741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls37c10,040$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.051,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks58c10,000$5,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.181,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Bucks59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Bulls38c9,999$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.627748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Bucks61c9,506$5,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.3271052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Bulls38c8,779$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.5747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls42c6,851$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.2869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bulls40c5,992$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.0885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls39c5,910$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.342,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Bucks62c5,806$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.456155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Bulls40c5,775$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3107142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bulls21c5,443$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.8526038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Bucks61c5,326$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.371,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls18c5,321$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Bulls19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls44c4,270$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.6185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls39c4,050$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Bucks55c4,025$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.7713355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bulls39c3,896$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.537739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bucks61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Bucks62c3,237$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.8417250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Bucks62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1407255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Bucks62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9077…45cebacked Bucks61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1701485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+83.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ee0…37a4backed Bulls40c3,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks61c2,975$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.7544459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Bucks76c2,927$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.6538151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bucks61c2,800$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Bucks61c2,718$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.0214161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks64c2,694$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.931,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks61c2,600$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls38c2,552$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Bulls27c2,527$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.4624634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Bulls26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bulls40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Bucks61c2,337$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.0230157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks69c2,158$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.231,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls39c2,117$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.723,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Bulls48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4679…6578backed Bulls39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls23c2,000$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.711,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.8176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Bulls39c1,923$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Bucks79c1,888$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.3928448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls26c1,854$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.612,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Bulls39c1,849$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfb…5ce8backed Bucks61c1,808$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.021070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x965f…f167backed Bulls39c1,806$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.341154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa50…81f9backed Bucks62c1,702$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd95…5301backed Bulls39c1,702$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.6950%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls47c1,672$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Bucks62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.92250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks61c1,607$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.7347751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bulls38c1,585$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.042,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Bulls45c1,554$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…eb4abacked Bulls39c1,533$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x559f…cd83backed Bucks61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5851850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Bulls39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58519441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40c…21a1backed Bulls40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbd…8d64backed Bucks61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Bucks60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.999344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Bucks61c1,471$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.6815945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Bucks61c1,428$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.8725554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Bulls34c1,427$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.23951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Bulls39c1,300$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.7378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bucks61c1,257$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9943247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks61c1,245$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.7973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…fb63backed Bucks61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Bulls29c1,036$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Bulls38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Bucks62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3809042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Bulls40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003250%16 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed Bucks61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Bulls18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Bulls44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Bulls8c1,000$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2734524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4636…8ea7backed Bulls39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Bulls18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803511.4%4 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Bucks61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Bulls40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9325…f40abacked Bucks62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddfc…38e5backed Bulls27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06a…837dbacked Bucks61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Bulls14c999.97$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls39c999.94$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.6475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.