NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9a7820350ba1783d6dcff57c68879cf0dfe96b56ca67f61c0b11240e24f9d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 50c | 398,041$199,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,020.5 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 50c | 156,900$78,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,438.32 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Nuggets | 50c | 127,104$63,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,551.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Nuggets | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Nuggets | 50c | 65,132$32,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,566 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 50c | 39,746$19,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,807.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 49c | 34,348$16,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,830.58 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 49c | 32,660$16,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,163.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 31,998$15,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Clippers | 51c | 25,256$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,375.25 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 50c | 24,887$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,443.68 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Clippers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 52c | 16,430$8,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,514.39 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Clippers | 50c | 13,068$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.86 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers | 50c | 12,221$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.5 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 50c | 10,813$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Clippers | 49c | 10,520$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.08 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,148$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Clippers | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.51 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers | 50c | 6,020$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.2 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Clippers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,794$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,103$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Clippers | 51c | 4,012$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.76 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,963$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.83 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers | 51c | 3,300$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,073$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Clippers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers | 51c | 3,000$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Clippers | 49c | 2,025$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.12 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,842$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 50c | 1,761$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,750$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Clippers | 61c | 1,663$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.2 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,612$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,608$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,569$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.33 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Clippers | 64c | 1,540$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.2 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,415$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Clippers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Clippers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers | 79c | 929.62$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4a8fbacked Clippers | 55c | 910.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Nuggets | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Nuggets | 50c | 891.3$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.65 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers | 44c | 763.76$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 4c | 719.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Clippers | 47c | 708.86$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 57c | 692.19$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Clippers | 50c | 670.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.4 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 51c | 646.91$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers | 51c | 607.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers | 39c | 588.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 52c | 540.52$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets | 48c | 528.26$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 49c | 527.45$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Clippers | 49c | 517.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Clippers | 49c | 506.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.92 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Clippers | 51c | 505.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Clippers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Clippers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Nuggets | 60c | 496.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Clippers | 48c | 491.23$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.44 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Clippers | 51c | 475.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Clippers | 51c | 459.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers | 52c | 457.54$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nuggets | 26c | 444.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Clippers | 47c | 422.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Nuggets | 50c | 401.16$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Clippers | 51c | 399.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Clippers | 36c | 336.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 52c | 328.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Clippers | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 57c | 304$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Clippers | 55c | 297.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Clippers | 50c | 292$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Clippers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Nuggets | 49c | 279.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 50c | 279.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Clippers | 40c | 250.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Clippers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 51c | 245.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Clippers | 51c | 243.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Clippers | 70c | 238.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Clippers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 228.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Clippers | 46c | 219.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.