NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef7ee178a465a810490e9f1074ab46ae22cafd83477d5f3d0a5db8ca42d6c049

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under	52c	79,114$41,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,217.95	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	32,965$15,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,102.92	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	48c	25,000$11,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,125	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	50c	7,344$3,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,671.28	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	4,202$2,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,101.18	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	49c	3,201$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,642.12	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under	49c	2,612$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.7	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	48c	1,974$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.05	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	51c	1,843$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.25	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under	51c	999.99$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	49c	882.09$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.87	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over	51c	758.82$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.82	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	50c	645.38$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.36	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	633.5$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.73	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	48c	611.38$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.05	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.12	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	50c	392$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under	51c	371.96$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.7	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	181.39$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.88	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Over	50c	161.43$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.43	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	14c	148.51$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.9	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over	29c	127.14$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.71	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	50c	126.69$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.38	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Over	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	51c	117.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.58	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under	52c	115.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	79c	110$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	106.25$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.25	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	51c	98.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under	52c	97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	183	39.3%72 W · 111 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under	52c	83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	47c	67.55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.8	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Under	52c	66.58$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over	41c	58.85$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.68	390	47.7%186 W · 204 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	57.81$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.77	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Under	52c	57.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over	22c	52.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.72	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Over	50c	51.56$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.78	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Under	53c	51.32$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	50c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over	29c	47.53$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	25c	45.65$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Under	54c	39.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	50c	39.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under	48c	37.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd430…78b8backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x007f…fb6cbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c1…140abacked Under	51c	35.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over	49c	32.86$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.76	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over	52c	31.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under	73c	31.32$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	168	67.3%113 W · 55 L	+13.8wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c4…9972backed Over	49c	30.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	51c	28.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over	60c	27.9$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over	49c	25.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.01	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	49c	24.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under	51c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	46c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	70c	21.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over	50c	20.4$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	215	53.5%115 W · 100 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5this page
Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. ClippersClippers won
Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Clippers won
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event