TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under50c36,816$18,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,225.7187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c17,205$8,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,519.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c14,774$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,938.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…447abacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3d…cbd1backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…f804backed Under48c9,508$4,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,563.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…16cabacked Under48c7,563$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over53c7,278$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.518853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3632…fbf9backed Over52c6,635$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb7…fce9backed Under48c5,916$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7f…f905backed Over52c5,679$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c5,443$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.0738251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c5,422$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.12,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c5,314$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4861,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ea…6facbacked Under48c5,295$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe4…04f8backed Under48c5,151$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…1398backed Over52c5,077$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c4,553$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.9470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d17…b667backed Over52c4,548$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364a…c954backed Over52c4,389$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…06e5backed Under48c4,251$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f543backed Over52c4,106$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa7c…33d8backed Under48c4,032$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee1…a7b5backed Under48c4,012$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x169f…3796backed Over52c3,930$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…5e25backed Under48c3,877$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c7…7551backed Over52c3,844$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over69c3,824$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.222,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a0…b936backed Over52c3,816$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…9a22backed Under48c3,770$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…1796backed Over52c3,767$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…1b60backed Under48c3,758$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…ed73backed Under48c3,665$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over17c3,610$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd8…9b8bbacked Over52c3,607$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c3,560$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d2…767bbacked Over52c3,478$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dee…6fbcbacked Over52c3,402$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b13…febebacked Under48c3,386$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf97b…7272backed Under48c3,349$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef7…fb88backed Under48c3,322$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…9ac4backed Under48c3,264$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81bf…748fbacked Under48c3,252$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c3,206$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebf…ccd7backed Over52c3,153$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710b…ad77backed Under48c3,114$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c1…b8e5backed Over52c3,012$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a9e…0191backed Over52c2,934$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over51c2,928$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.7215450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf8…2451backed Under48c2,877$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…a1e7backed Over52c2,811$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x652d…8e04backed Under48c2,776$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f16…aa92backed Over52c2,766$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda62…5f64backed Over52c2,724$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c72…7365backed Under48c2,699$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.52333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…f01bbacked Over52c2,687$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…df49backed Over52c2,666$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c2,633$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3153…a149backed Over52c2,611$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4651…ce9bbacked Under48c2,558$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce4…6c76backed Under48c2,406$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…dc68backed Over52c2,340$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5058…9482backed Under48c2,314$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2938…689fbacked Under48c2,308$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04af…606abacked Under48c2,215$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c7…88bfbacked Under48c2,176$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Under9c2,120$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.09911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+148.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb867…cd86backed Under48c2,087$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x164f…32febacked Over52c2,079$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7098…d5d9backed Under48c2,074$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf078…f38dbacked Over52c2,043$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27fb…6959backed Under48c2,038$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x862e…4d05backed Over52c2,034$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…2570backed Over52c2,023$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2290…4ef6backed Under48c2,023$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb76…b377backed Over52c2,021$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…7005backed Under48c2,011$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf8…3bc7backed Under48c2,003$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377d…cbacbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2932backed Over52c1,987$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd67e…e569backed Over52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d1…50d6backed Under48c1,891$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbd…8896backed Over52c1,884$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Under48c1,860$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdc…7053backed Under48c1,848$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad77…2fc6backed Under48c1,842$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f5…3693backed Over52c1,841$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a36…4aa3backed Over52c1,827$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb7…db8dbacked Over52c1,807$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80d…b0aabacked Under48c1,801$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbf…a866backed Under48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9a…21bcbacked Over52c1,774$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7f…29cabacked Under48c1,760$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff3…8a0fbacked Over52c1,756$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e7…8ec2backed Over52c1,752$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,745$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4541…03f9backed Over52c1,735$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb105…42dbbacked Under48c1,729$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d7…25dabacked Under48c1,717$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…8a8abacked Under48c1,716$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.