NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d213ce92858fcc718d3065487c696f74d9b4c4f9ba6f56f31868da22cf89b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 46c | 47,649$21,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,730.57 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 54c | 36,543$19,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,733.22 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c48…ef7abacked Clippers | 47c | 7,450$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…572cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 7,088$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Clippers | 50c | 6,270$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.07 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…2807backed Clippers | 47c | 4,937$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…bf5ebacked Clippers | 47c | 4,696$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…127cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,635$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…3055backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,005$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.05 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…794ebacked Clippers | 47c | 3,792$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…0a98backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,717$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…8e80backed Clippers | 47c | 3,657$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…5ac0backed Clippers | 47c | 3,654$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 49c | 3,630$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…3480backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,599$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b2adbacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,556$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…991abacked Clippers | 47c | 3,554$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 3,553$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…7174backed Clippers | 47c | 3,454$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…7e7cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,451$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…c1efbacked Clippers | 47c | 3,340$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…968bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 3,108$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…a803backed Clippers | 47c | 3,050$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…d69fbacked Clippers | 47c | 3,031$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…9851backed Clippers | 47c | 3,021$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…7654backed Clippers | 47c | 3,008$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…466dbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,981$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…fee5backed Clippers | 47c | 2,966$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,914$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e13abacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,839$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b0…e3a1backed Clippers | 47c | 2,808$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…28b4backed Clippers | 47c | 2,799$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…017ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,786$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…3eebbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,739$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…b02bbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,733$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd620…237cbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,584$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…2d7fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,573$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…ecfcbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,490$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75db…ed81backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,414$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…a09abacked Clippers | 47c | 2,383$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…7a04backed Clippers | 47c | 2,375$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c9…9f3abacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,336$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…33e0backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,322$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…0638backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,268$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…c21cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,263$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…e374backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,241$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…7a03backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,230$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e21…2d61backed Clippers | 47c | 2,144$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…6797backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,131$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ed…c90ebacked Clippers | 47c | 2,078$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…8cb5backed Clippers | 47c | 2,041$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…cf0cbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,024$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a27…97b5backed Clippers | 47c | 2,016$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…1963backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,007$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…86f6backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,996$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…3a14backed Clippers | 47c | 1,990$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…e91ebacked Clippers | 47c | 1,983$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…2498backed Clippers | 47c | 1,974$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Clippers | 47c | 1,965$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…ab35backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,965$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…a968backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,954$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…e0c4backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,907$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3409backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,883$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…4457backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,864$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…bc92backed Clippers | 47c | 1,853$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…ff10backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,846$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…a498backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,840$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…d980backed Clippers | 47c | 1,808$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…867cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,808$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3d3ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,791$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…b222backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,777$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,740$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…0e8dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,733$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…7cafbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,723$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3e…c8fabacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,705$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…b297backed Clippers | 47c | 1,694$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…2fe6backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,689$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4175backed Clippers | 47c | 1,669$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…281bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,667$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…8c51backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,643$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…1648backed Clippers | 47c | 1,636$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…c01abacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,628$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…651fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,623$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…1c3fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,619$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…ac5abacked Clippers | 47c | 1,613$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…1f2dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…06bebacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,572$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…c876backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,548$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…fd36backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…c06dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…95c9backed Clippers | 47c | 1,449$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…4c8dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,444$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a440backed Clippers | 47c | 1,440$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa830…6dc4backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,429$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…45a4backed Clippers | 47c | 1,378$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…25e2backed Clippers | 47c | 1,374$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,373$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)this page
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.