NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c7d85672bda1cf0fe936dad6750d87255712d025cca97efcc3f4f6ae5ecd14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 3,321$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 29c | 2,975$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 57c | 2,112$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.99 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 2c | 2,052$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 2,040$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,348$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.63 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 6c | 1,226$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 53c | 950$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 47c | 945.53$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 5c | 900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 841.38$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 651$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 2c | 630$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 45c | 567.56$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 65c | 456$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 68c | 454$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 406.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 50c | 399.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 35c | 219.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 35c | 217.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 192.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 46c | 127.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 116.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 111.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 47c | 106.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 69c | 104.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 35c | 101.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 75.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 72.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 71.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f3…2ce8backed Under | 80c | 60.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 44c | 57.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 48.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Under | 47c | 47.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Over | 62c | 44.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Under | 48c | 44.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 40.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 35c | 37.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 48c | 34.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…377dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…fae9backed Under | 63c | 27.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 59c | 22.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 57c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5this page
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.