TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes43c12,881$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,559.7336248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c11,629$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.951,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Yes46c9,214$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.251540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No75c5,231$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.293943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed No57c4,919$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c4,715$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.5245042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c3,938$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.2270435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c3,742$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.5132944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes49c3,638$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.223834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Yes49c3,335$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No57c3,326$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.6442647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Yes15c3,246$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c3,063$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.161,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes28c2,868$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6717936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes73c2,449$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.841844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c2,393$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.8626445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No42c2,373$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.247241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes40c2,264$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.598470.2%59 W · 25 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9203455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Yes43c1,967$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No50c1,707$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.721952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No61c1,574$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c1,530$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.0759441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bd…ff97backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c1,382$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.5231047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No67c1,325$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4888137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Yes17c1,301$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No70c1,267$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.27163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No69c1,254$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.926845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes43c1,248$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.212065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c1,212$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.1587531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa20a…b7b3backed Yes69c1,204$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No54c1,154$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7441553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes61c1,150$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.137753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,143$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.4234642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No75c1,126$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.058040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes42c1,095$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5810051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No37c1,075$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.122250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No31c954.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.652330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes18c915.59$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.957339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes70c796.47$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.534353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No33c795.81$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.633447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No56c768.02$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3928651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No57c749.99$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No31c746.27$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.242128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c710.81$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7231342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No31c700.66$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.452661.5%16 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+114.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes34c675$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.757349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes37c618.78$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.958859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No51c599.97$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9918250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No72c556.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.442171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes10c551.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.073930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes46c530$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.85731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes41c518.75$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9527236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes29c515.15$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.224942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes57c493$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.962065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes69c487.69$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes45c474.03$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.785763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No75c469.1$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.12245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes69c454.75$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…7b1abacked Yes48c450.47$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No33c448.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.542437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes49c444.19$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9212348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No66c443.4$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.075459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x123f…8d5fbacked Yes24c402.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.412250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes45c386.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.699435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b6…306dbacked No52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+63.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes20c375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75200%0 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No52c357.96$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.462147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0630…9368backed Yes74c338.62$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Yes76c335.91$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.29450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes26c333.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.17444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No27c325$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.212040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No28c314$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.21338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes23c300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No59c287.55$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.43977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes72c277.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c267.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5559136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01db…2922backed Yes19c263.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes35c261$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8714238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes38c245.31$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4916144.7%72 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed No59c237.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No42c236.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.511850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes41c232.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.693240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No44c231.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.368645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes26c227$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.948144.4%36 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc13…cbcabacked Yes18c222.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes20c220.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8212044.2%53 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes48c213.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.766947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff0…9885backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes49c210.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.