TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes28c10,000$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.9210443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No56c7,852$4,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,417.3970435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c4,110$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.891,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No11c3,422$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.424353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes70c3,019$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.93560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes73c2,671$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.3610051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c2,580$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.7442647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9632944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c1,895$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.111,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16de…fcc3backed Yes65c1,541$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No14c1,496$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.441136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+96.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No14c1,428$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No19c1,427$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.585459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes63c1,427$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.235731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c1,424$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.3331047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c1,422$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.6988137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No39c1,162$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.897339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No38c1,131$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.298040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No18c1,114$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.521338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72034642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes41c904.34$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.185446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…dc17backed Yes25c868.04$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.031421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f0…fd92backed No76c854.31$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes69c808.8$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.088038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed No12c790.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.851827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes51c743.83$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0517936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c694$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6826445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No3c670.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.381618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-58.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No2c623.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4737753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c620.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No74c573.28$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4233070%21 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No13c464.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c440.47$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1459441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf274…443ebacked Yes69c425.24$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No57c420.38$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.729749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No66c400.21$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.299435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No12c393$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.075429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes69c364.05$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes25c345.17$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No73c331.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462050%10 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No55c297.31$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes37c291.11$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8936248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No9c274.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes57c200.84$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2410539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes21c190.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.452661.5%16 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+114.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No58c185$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.33951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed No41c171.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.641735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes20c169.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.881050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No9c162$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3620916.7%35 W · 174 L-36.8wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x643f…50acbacked Yes28c161.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes27c155.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.569549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed No73c152.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.861741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.25244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed No15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No74c126.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5727236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a9…5950backed Yes27c125.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.66540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No72c123.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3422245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c115.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8487531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked No16c111.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.341747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed28…87cebacked No72c111$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes27c110.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.667444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes43c97$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.654100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+145.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes20c95.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.122828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699440.4%38 W · 56 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No38c87.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.338440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Yes23c86.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.952416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.67345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No24c76.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.214557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes50c76.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0730856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7511645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c71.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4314255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c67.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4841553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No58c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.710840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed No18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c7b…3d69backed Yes27c53.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.391656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No27c53.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4414238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No34c51.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.386845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.715538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed No36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c46.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8363150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No73c39.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.746947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x909a…e48cbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Yes31c35.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.862268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes58c34.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked No35c30.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed No74c25.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197050%35 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No77c25.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.